its not the correct time in the macroeconomic cycle to be playing longs....
1) auto industry under
2) banking sector still limping along
3) american consumer broke
4) currency debasement is the solution being used
5) politics of taxation
6) summer countertrend, sept/oct trending reaffirmation
7) gold at close to 1000
8) inflationary pressures working into end products
9) new war on the horizon
next year is the time window for a possible bottoming out process once the politics and other unknowns are known.
from now till then, markets will suck in people hoping to catch bottoms.