ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Spectre2007:

:)

loading up shorts in this zone.

You truly believe just because the downtrend channel resistance line was hit a third time that the fourth will magically work just to fulfill your short prophecy ? Is that all you got for technical analysis, a dumb ass downtrend channel ?

I'm calling 1260 as nearby target then retracement to low 30s for an explosion up to the 1300-1310 area.

Call when we get to 1300 and I'll let you know the next direction point.

Incognito
 
Quote from Incognito:

You truly believe just because the downtrend channel resistance line was hit a third time that the fourth will magically work just to fulfill your short prophecy ? Is that all you got for technical analysis, a dumb ass downtrend channel ?

I'm calling 1260 as nearby target then retracement to low 30s for an explosion up to the 1300-1310 area.

Call when we get to 1300 and I'll let you know the next direction point.

Incognito


The risk aversion window is still wide open, given all that is going on in the real world, this phase of the market will continue to manifest weakness, there is immense overhead supply looking to exit before the shit really hits the fan, do you honestly think the market makers will let people exit without maximal pain. Maximal pain is when sp500 breaks monthly lows in the 700-800 range causing anyone who is long to sell in mass.

What are the factors weighing on the market?

1) immense transfer of wealth outside of this country to resource producing nations.

2) taxation by energy inflation, and debasement of the currency.

3) what are the solutions to remain even remotely functioning, to continue to increase the money supply in a massive fashion, debasing the dollar even more.

this storm is just getting started, everytime you think there is reprieve, the storm comes back even with more force.

Before its all over, bond yields will touch below 4% on the 30 year.

USD/JPY will be sub 100, and stay there.

Equities will break 1000 on the SPX. Bear markets meet expectation on the sell side more then on the buy side. Bull markets surpass targets on the upside, and rarely meet retracement points.
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

The risk aversion window is still wide open, given all that is going on in the real world, this phase of the market will continue to manifest weakness, there is immense overhead supply looking to exit before the shit really hits the fan, do you honestly think the market makers will let people exit without maximal pain. Maximal pain is when sp500 breaks monthly lows in the 700-800 range causing anyone who is long to sell in mass.

What are the factors weighing on the market?

1) immense transfer of wealth outside of this country to resource producing nations.

2) taxation by energy inflation, and debasement of the currency.

3) what are the solutions to remain even remotely functioning, to continue to increase the money supply in a massive fashion, debasing the dollar even more.

this storm is just getting started, everytime you think there is reprieve, the storm comes back even with more force.

Before its all over, bond yields will touch below 4% on the 30 year.

USD/JPY will be sub 100, and stay there.

Equities will break 1000 on the SPX. Bear markets meet expectation on the sell side more then on the buy side. Bull markets surpass targets on the upside, and rarely meet retracement points.

Looking at charts I don't think bear phase is done, but shorter term charts call for a retracement, channels are good until they are broken. ImPO this is the time when bearish channel you posted stands a good chance of being broken.
 
Quote from JSSPMK:

Looking at charts I don't think bear phase is done, but shorter term charts call for a retracement, channels are good until they are broken. ImPO this is the time when bearish channel you posted stands a good chance of being broken.

any move to one side is met with another move to the opposite side, with the overall trend down.

ala volatility.
 

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Quote from Spectre2007:

any move to one side is met with another move to the opposite side, with the overall trend down.

ala volatility.

Let's agree to disagree, markets will solve this one :) All the best!
 
hypothetically speaking,if we were all sheep following the market as they led us to slaughter,if they kill us all there will be no offspring,ergo the shepherd is out of a job,those imaginary folks(they with 80% of the money representing 1% of the population),it would be in their best interest to turn the sheep here away from the nearby cliff
 
Quote from ammo:

hypothetically speaking,if we were all sheep following the market as they led us to slaughter,if they kill us all there will be no offspring,ergo the shepherd is out of a job,those imaginary folks(they with 80% of the money representing 1% of the population),it would be in their best interest to turn the sheep here away from the nearby cliff

very poetic :)

but wouldn't it be just too easy - if tomorrow we just go straight up and up. wouldn't "they" want to shake out the longs that piled up at the end of the day? :confused:
 
anna, we are going into exp,my guesstimate would be 8-9 out of 12 exp are up,there is/was a massive buildup of 47% shorts,so they still have some screwing of shorts to do
 
Quote from wave:

I told you to buy Jerry, Buy, Buy, Buy. 1261 is 2nd target, I expect a little selloff here soon.

There are several lines of resistance from 55 to the low 60's. 62 would represent 50% retrace back to the 1322.25 open gap.
 
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