BigBubba,
vertigo here,
I'm always curious, Wolfe waves and ascending/descending wedges are very similar, as I stated before.
But the number of identified WW's on this thread that have proven to be successful have been few and far between. That's all I was saying. Believe me, I understand that every potential pattern has to have a failure point.
I took the time to go back and find the posts I did offering what looked like a wolfe wave in the cash.
I don't know if the market's move to another high AFTER the 5th price point labeled on this chart would have negated it, but in the analysis offered below (timestamp 5-9-2008 at 8:54am);
"...According the my simplistic understanding of wolfewave, the line generated by connecting pts 1,3 will intersect the line generated by pts 2,4.
that interesection (circled on the chart) is what is called ETA line, Estimated Time of Arrival
the ETA for this chart is roughly the 4th to the 7th trade day in June, and using the pt 1,4 line, the projected price (EPA, Estimated Price at Arrival) at the ETA is near 1346
..."
Today's date is June 9, within the ETA (Estimated Time of Arrival) (today was technically the 6th trade day of June versus the window of June 5th through June 10.
The projection for price was 1346 area, the cash today printed a low of 1350.62, off by 3 tenths of a percentage point.
I think I will continue to read more about these wolfe waves.
here was my original post about
Quote from vertigo3:
OK,
here is the more symmetrical WW count based on the daily SPX (cash).
In case you might not realize it, I don't know whether to have confidence in WW's or not. Technically, I don't really know the rules for symmetry of time and dominant waves either, but since bearish and bullish wedges have treated me well and since the WW appears to be quantifying targets based on a wedge formation, I have some interest.
According the my simplistic understanding of wolfewave, the line generated by connecting pts 1,3 will intersect the line generated by pts 2,4.
that interesection (circled on the chart) is what is called ETA line, Estimated Time of Arrival
the ETA for this chart is roughly the 4th to the 7th trade day in June, and using the pt 1,4 line, the projected price (EPA, Estimated Price at Arrival) at the ETA is near 1346
the 4th to 7th trade day of June would mean June 5th through June 10th.
this info and a billion dollars would make me a millionaire.