ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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1. oil
2. gold
3. inflation
4. housing
5. consumer discretionary spending
6. politics
7. war


some reasons that vol will pick up again.

<a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/2f625e69-1155-4436-b2b8-1457a4364bff_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-141419.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/2f625e69-1155-4436-b2b8-1457a4364bff_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-141419.jpg" width="1252" height="657" border="0" /></a>
 
30 year bond yields compressing on yearly chart...

anything exciting in the world will spark bond market decimation...

<a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/b492c1cc-2bd8-4e2f-bc40-01cf00eef9a0_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-142512.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/b492c1cc-2bd8-4e2f-bc40-01cf00eef9a0_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-142512.jpg" width="1250" height="630" border="0" /></a>
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

1. oil
2. gold
3. inflation
4. housing
5. consumer discretionary spending
6. politics
7. war


some reasons that vol will pick up again.

<a href="http://content.screencast.com/media/2f625e69-1155-4436-b2b8-1457a4364bff_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-141419.jpg"><img src="http://content.screencast.com/media/2f625e69-1155-4436-b2b8-1457a4364bff_e4e7210a-d70e-4e9a-b1ea-ac06782ba068_static_0_0_06012008-141419.jpg" width="1252" height="657" border="0" /></a>
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taking those facts; rationally one would agree that a vix hitting mid teens is beyond ridiculous. even with the market staying irrational longer than one can stay solvent; given those above facts i cannot see but low to mid 20's vix until the credit crisis is truly over and housing bottoms.
 
Quote from fearless9:

ammo

Interesting explanation but help me out here please..........

How can he chart what does not take place because of his "no more trades for the day rule"

regards
f9
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I am a countertrend intraday trader. Let's just say that on days I start with a loss, more often than not end up being a trend day and that first loss was against the trend, so why would I stick around and throw good money after bad sincemy rules do not allow me to chase trend.
 
Quote from ammo:

born in 56,had a birthday this month,i';ve pm'ed vol for advice on some of the stuff he watches other than rule of ten,he's for real
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Who you calling old ?

You are nearly twice my age gramps !


:eek:
 
Quote from volente_00:

I am a countertrend intraday trader. Let's just say that on days I start with a loss, more often than not end up being a trend day and that first loss was against the trend, so why would I stick around and throw good money after bad sincemy rules do not allow me to chase trend.
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fair enough V.

regards
f9
 
Now is Now...

START YOUR OWN THREAD/JOURNAL!

There are over 6000 pages in THIS journal, at least 3000 pages of arguing, name-calling, and other drivel. Here's an little ditty about a past poster by the name of blackguard (he emerged as several other names in the recent past, but who cares)... Blackguard posted his "calls" right here in the ES journal. After he broke his arm in self-congratulatory fashion, he ultimately ended up offering up his "services" for $5 US via paypal... Clearly he needed the money to get proper medical attention for his broken limbs! Why would you even consider jumping into this pond when you can just do your own thang on your own beach, AND continue to frequent THIS pond.

START YOUR OWN!

Osorico
 
I'm doing my analysis before 1AM today... way to go me :) Hope everyone had a great weekend. The weather was gorgeous. Anyway, here goes-

I think its likely the rally that has taken place over the past week is over. I was looking to get short at 2045.00 NQ but they missed my order by 5-ticks :( Anyway, 60-min RTH MACD histo is very bearish and signals to me a high probability for at least a 38.2% retrace from this swing up if highs aren't broken by more than a few points by Monday morning. Assuming we stay below Mondays highs, I plan on taking mostly short setups over the next couple days anticipating that we visit 2007 minimum on NQ before a significant bounce. Support zones to keep in mind on the way down -

2018-2021... we could get some kind of a reaction here but I don't expect it to be significant.

2006-2008 is pretty significant support. We could get a good bounce off this level. If they want to break 5/19's highs they could do it from here.

1995-1997... just some more support if they overshoot the other zone.

Aaaaand the visual -
 

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Quote from osorico:

Now is Now...

START YOUR OWN THREAD/JOURNAL!

There are over 6000 pages in THIS journal, at least 3000 pages of arguing, name-calling, and other drivel. Here's an little ditty about a past poster by the name of blackguard (he emerged as several other names in the recent past, but who cares)... Blackguard posted his "calls" right here in the ES journal. After he broke his arm in self-congratulatory fashion, he ultimately ended up offering up his "services" for $5 US via paypal... Clearly he needed the money to get proper medical attention for his broken limbs! Why would you even consider jumping into this pond when you can just do your own thang on your own beach, AND continue to frequent THIS pond.

START YOUR OWN!

Osorico
More...

Thankyou, Osorico.....that has been my leaning also although I repect the few positive opinions offered...so here goes...
 
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