i'm no mrket genius,very obvious lately according to acct balance,but the mrkt always supplies daily or weekly data when it is trading 6 months out, it's necessary to be that far ahead of the market when u have to move the cash quantities that they do, so yes i think we will get to 1415 by mid may and then they will be telling us how the bad news is behind us setting us up for a decline in the late summer,early fall,recesssions last 10 - 12 months and after 6 months we are on our way out of them,oct,nov,D,J,F,M,six months, so it's half over