ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from RsX:

Yes it was - went against a steep intraday downswing, but the odds were decent enough by price and volume patterns. That stop-out voids my vision for todays action so that was probably my only trade for today.


EDIT: seems I was faked out, because entered too early - above a larger confluence zone. We turned at the 1296.50-1343.75 upswing's 76.4% fib retracement, which is at 1307.50. Also a -61.8% fib extension of todays biggest intraday upswing points to 1306.00 and another important level was 1309.00 as the 38.2% retracement of the 1253.00-1343.75 (gee, thats 9 x rule of 10, isnt it, oh my.. :) ) larger upswing. So that's an area around 1306.00-1309.00, which I missed for some reason.

1308.50 was also S1. While there ticks were going off like firecrackers.
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

1308.50 was also S1. While there ticks were going off like firecrackers.

That's an RTH-based pivot level right? I look at the 24hrs session pivots so I missed that one. Nevertheless, it means even more confluence. And it's worth keeping in mind for the future. Thanks.

EDIT: seeing one more low-risk chance here. Long at 1308.25, -2.75pts stop (1305.5).

EDIT: stopped out -2.75pts. Done for today as well.
 
rumour in the market that the fed may increase equity margins.
that is what has helped bring this market down

Quote from smilingsynic:

1308.50 was also S1. While there ticks were going off like firecrackers.
 
If anyone wants to figure out how Avarus/Wave does/did it, download a 60-minute chart, go read about the Taylor book method and Richard Wyckoff's methods, plan your trades, and trade your plan. There is a good section in Hill and Pruitt, The Ultimate Trading Guide on S&P techniques.

I am done for today: intense trading --> headaches.
 
If they can hold up this area, the long run will have legs.

Personally, I think they need to coordinate another sudden announcement tonight after close to make that happen.
 
this is a long drawn out process of wealth destruction and adjustment, the news is historical in proportion, so a simple rally to trendline should not be construed as everything is okay now,...

multiyear sell signal means atleast another year of adjustment, in the markets, as consumers find a new equilibrium with discretionary spending allocated more to energy and transportation, a new inflationary cycle is about to start with bond market peaking, interest rates in the double digits are the future..
 

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