ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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The psychotic price action of the last few days and weekend is indicative of an impending crash. Any buys in the near term future (tomorrow) would be for intraday trading only.

1200 would be a start, but 1150 sounds more realistic. 1150 would represent a 50% retracement off of 2002 bear market lows.

Long bear gamma, but not nearly enough . Looking to close if the VIX hits mid-40's.

Capital preservation is number one target, as always, but this price action and easy Fed remind me of '98, so will be looking to buy etfs when I see capitulation.
 
Quote from iloveoptions:

Stopped at 1259. 1255 is acting like a magnet.
Measured move target of 1253.50 was nearly perfect (at least so far).

1336 - 1275.50 - 1314 - 1253.50.

A lot of trading careers ended tonight. LOL
 
Quote from mbusch:

Measured move target of 1253.50 was nearly perfect (at least so far).

1336 - 1275.50 - 1314 - 1253.50.

A lot of trading careers ended tonight. LOL

Nothing is perfect but i'll take your word for it :D Let me try again...Limit long sitting at 1250.75
 
..since we broke down from 1334, my work tells me the stair-steps look like this
1334
1299
1254
1205
1156
1141
...likewise reverse on the way back up
The question is - what step do "they" want to stop on?
How do these numbers compare to everyones work ?
 
Guys,

When the spiral down is hitting hardest, you cannot step in front of the train.

Just check the currencies out, USD/JPY is heading for 90 at least. There is no stopping that from happening. The real target is 80 set 10+ years ago.

The only hope is that central banks will act at either 90 or 80 to stop the train.

Before that, ES will not be able to stop itself - unless of course LIMIT DOWN overnight.

Warning again - Newbies, do not touch this market unless you are prepared to loose some serious $$$.

Edit: I do not usually monitor the market overnight, it seems like I have to make an exception tonight. :eek:
 
Quote from tommymoose:

We still need to make a 5th wave down (the counts starting at 2/1 and also 2/27) I see this rally we're in now puttering out either at 1327.50-1330 or 1334-1337 if they wanna take this thing down to new lows. If they do, my target is 1250.

Quote from tommymoose:

first target = 1251.50-1255.50

MBusch... same measured move target area

Beautiful. Technicals tell me to take profits here (if only SDS traded AH). My sentiment tells me its possible we continue to plummet hard. My sentiment rarely makes me money... I'm going to compramise and just tighten my stop in the AM.

I agree Chan, this is more exciting than any of the crap they could possibly have on TV right now.
 
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