ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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This looks nothing like a bear market bottom to me. Not that I wouldn't like one, as there is nothing in trading like a bear market bottom. Spectacular and cathartic. You blink, and that was a handle.

Today represents a lot of movement but merely a pause in the downward trend; it feels like the calm before the storm. More often than probability alone would suggest, Monday marks either the high or the low of the week. A long weekend plus weak longs equal opportunity.
 
to put things in perspective, we closed down about 35 points for the week.roughly 3%.

I think thats easy to overcome next week.

after that, we'll just print higher prices until Hillary comes in, and after that its pretty much 1995-1999 all over again.

Im looking forward to next week and looking forward to higher prices.
 
Quote from JSSPMK:

Long 91, risky Long off 2,1 & poss 10

b/e no lift

Long 1289.25 off 1

-1

re-entered

-1.75

Long 1286.75 off 1

Scaled out +3


1/3 sold +9.25 wanted to increase position size at the apex of bullish wedge, but decided not to in light of bearish p/a yesterday & today

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1823569>
 

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Rolled today into June Short--Full position. Will maintain short position here. I will stop out above 1410 in the June as well. I see no reason just yet to bring my stop down to a lower level with all the noise that has been occurring in the market. :)

--Obtained a profit of just over 200 points in the March contract there with one commission. It gets a bit harder to track now since this is still considered "one trade" ie I do not consider this as a realized profit until such time that I am stopped out or decide to get out. For example, my June short could end up losing 120 points or so which would normally be unacceptable forn the size I currently have on, yet this amount would be balanced against the gain in March as I still consider this the same trade. I keep track of the amount of the cash balance that is involved in rolled trades and I base my risk assessment on the net cash balance amount. I am extremely risk averse and pay close attention to that. --Good fortune to all-- :)
 
Anyone have an opinion of where next ?

My option prediction had 1280-1290 downside for march.


but now action is starting to heat up at 125 and 126.
 
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