ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)
- Thread starter Buy1Sell2
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I am watching to see if the right shoulder gets put in ~1360-1362
creating a rule of 10 short signal and high probability head and shoulders.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^GSPC&t=5d
really to early to read spy interest accurately for march but looks like we are stuck dead middle of a a 1290 to 1410 range for the next month until interest moves. 1418 still keeps coming up as a next higher high on my charts.
What's up a man ?
you stalking me now ?
I thought you were boycotting et ?
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=117554
As of today I see 1300-1410 with a outer range of 1290 to 1420 for spx from spy options. Why don't you post your range prediction from spx options and we will see who was closer % wise come march 21 to settle this debate. greeks versus kiss
What do you say ?
you stalking me now ?
I thought you were boycotting et ?
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=117554
As of today I see 1300-1410 with a outer range of 1290 to 1420 for spx from spy options. Why don't you post your range prediction from spx options and we will see who was closer % wise come march 21 to settle this debate. greeks versus kiss
What do you say ?
I'd like an answer to my questions. What's the significance of the 135P OI? I can understand your confusion considering that you contradict yourself with each post. Stalking you? Anyone is free to do a search on your user name with "atticus" as keyword and find 4x in which you made reference to me since Feb 8 [excluding your answer to my current reply]. Posts in which I was not involved. I'd call that stalking, or at least a casual obsession... aw shucks!
So now you're stating that the range during the Mar cycle will exceed the range stated by March implied vol? Wow, again, very prescient. Quite a margin of error!
If you'd like to make a wager, state a legitimate stake. A range is stupid [surprise], so lets pick a Mar closing value. How about $10,000 on the line?
So, you won't or can't answer these questions? I've got to take my kids to the Children's Museum, but I'll be back later for more of your contradictions.
A range is stupid ?
You want a closing value ? LOL
Coming from someone who says pinning does not exist ?
You already know my thinking on that subject. I can only give ranges from KISS.
As I previously said it is early and oi can chage but as of right now
1290-1300 to 1410-1420
Get back with me on 3/21 good friend
You want a closing value ? LOL
Coming from someone who says pinning does not exist ?
You already know my thinking on that subject. I can only give ranges from KISS.
As I previously said it is early and oi can chage but as of right now
1290-1300 to 1410-1420
Get back with me on 3/21 good friend
just came back from the Cayman Islands, to most everyone there life goes on, and the downturn is just in papers, its almost as if the data, and statisticians tailor numbers to fit government directed projections and the FEDs intimations.
One could argue that the FEDs data hasn't been indicating a severe downturn, and its the reason they were lagging initially, but market forces forced their hand into a aggressive easing stance.
The dollar has held up relatively well, since speculators surmise that the rest of the world is next in aggressive easing. But from looking at everything, most everyone are just rolling along, building booms continue in emerging markets.
The problem comes in the speculative bets, many are shorting EURO and GBP...thinking Europe will be next, but the data doesn't indicate that the downturn will be as severe, and its mostly a segregated event in the USA, Montana is booming, the bubble states are the ones mostly effected.
Agricultural profits and Oil profits filtering into the economy. Russia's numbers are amazing,...
what this all means is the downturn wont be as severe as many are predicting. There are historical opportunities in the markets at macro inflections.
The trade will be to frontrun the expected resurgence in the 3rd/4th quarter of this year. If the data doesn't support the resurgence, then markets will selloff again in the 3rd 4th quarter.
It means SP will be bid up to test some of these upper trendlines, and bond/note yields will rise, dollar will come under pressure, since Europeans might escape the worst part with a resurgence in the US, and BOE and ECB wont cut as much as expected.
EDIT: note on the daily chart the double top before support is tested again, when this fractal fails expect a quick reversal to the upside.
One could argue that the FEDs data hasn't been indicating a severe downturn, and its the reason they were lagging initially, but market forces forced their hand into a aggressive easing stance.
The dollar has held up relatively well, since speculators surmise that the rest of the world is next in aggressive easing. But from looking at everything, most everyone are just rolling along, building booms continue in emerging markets.
The problem comes in the speculative bets, many are shorting EURO and GBP...thinking Europe will be next, but the data doesn't indicate that the downturn will be as severe, and its mostly a segregated event in the USA, Montana is booming, the bubble states are the ones mostly effected.
Agricultural profits and Oil profits filtering into the economy. Russia's numbers are amazing,...
what this all means is the downturn wont be as severe as many are predicting. There are historical opportunities in the markets at macro inflections.
The trade will be to frontrun the expected resurgence in the 3rd/4th quarter of this year. If the data doesn't support the resurgence, then markets will selloff again in the 3rd 4th quarter.
It means SP will be bid up to test some of these upper trendlines, and bond/note yields will rise, dollar will come under pressure, since Europeans might escape the worst part with a resurgence in the US, and BOE and ECB wont cut as much as expected.
EDIT: note on the daily chart the double top before support is tested again, when this fractal fails expect a quick reversal to the upside.
bond yield chart, support and resistance, if you believe in the weakness, nows a time to go long bonds, if you believe in a resurgence wait for bonds to rally against a rebuttal at the resistance in yields, then get short....
note the historical opportunity...
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^TNX&t=my&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=
if you believe in a Japanese style protracted deflationary spiral then yields should continue their downward progression.
note the historical opportunity...
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^TNX&t=my&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=
if you believe in a Japanese style protracted deflationary spiral then yields should continue their downward progression.
The absurd short put indicator; and you correcting me in a PM regarding the spelling of spoos/SPUs.
Sorry for the OT, but I've met ~10 ETers and had a good time with all. I am nothing like my net-persona. I'll admit I am somewhat intolerant to the stupidity expressed on internet forums.
This intolerance could be a reflection of something in your interior that is upsetting your subconscious. You are probably not happy about something else and it gets manifested in your 'intolerance' towards others....
Shouldn't let this happen....no reason to let anything or other's actions upset you in anyway...
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