ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from kinggyppo:

vix to 26 almost there, the rate cut should get it under 25.

are you saying the rate cut lowers fear? Or we get the usual iv drop right after the announcement?
 
Quote from Jayford:

agreed, but I lean to the latter. 1270.

I know it could be different this time but the pattern of the last year has been a steep v bottom and then a trend up and leveling off for several months.
 
it's amazing seeing the guys on the floor punish the premium buyers before the announcement. once it comes out, premium drops fast, but it should be made up with the move.

Quote from kinggyppo:

I think vol will spike briefly and will then come down. One scenario is 50 pt ct, with the typical spike and drop in vol. Who knows how the market will react by the end of the day. I wish I was that good.




vix chart from yesterday.

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1768408#post1768408
 
Quote from Prevail:

it's amazing seeing the guys on the floor punish the premium buyers before the announcement. once it comes out, premium drops fast, but it should be made up with the move.

What I thought was interesting was that the highest daily close was only $31.00. The high was like $37.00 intraday, quite a swing.
 
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