ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from DeepFried:


Bernanke's handling of his position has been horrifically bad. 30 years of carefully built and earned Fed credibility down the drain.

Fed credibility? You call Greenspan's reign of saving markets and moral hazard and bubble building as credibility? Bernanke is bad, but Greenspan was the worst Fed chairman ever. He never realized the consequences of his actions, only the short term effects that it would have in soothing market psychology and busting up the shorts. Taking rates down to 1%, and keeping them there for a long time created much of this mess. He never did anything about increasing margin on stocks to stem the tech bubble, and the Greenspan put, aka LTCM, Jan 2001, etc. all built up an expectation that markets would always be protected with rate cuts when they went south, regardless of the current economy.
 
I'm sittin' on the dock of the bay
Watching them set-up this game
Ooo, I'm just sittin' on the dock of the bay
Waiting for a set-up come my way
:)
 
Quote from detective:

Fed credibility? You call Greenspan's reign of saving markets and moral hazard and bubble building as credibility? Bernanke is bad, but Greenspan was the worst Fed chairman ever. He never realized the consequences of his actions, only the short term effects that it would have in soothing market psychology and busting up the shorts. Taking rates down to 1%, and keeping them there for a long time created much of this mess. He never did anything about increasing margin on stocks to stem the tech bubble, and the Greenspan put, aka LTCM, Jan 2001, etc. all built up an expectation that markets would always be protected with rate cuts when they went south, regardless of the current economy.

There were ups and downs during his tenure - '87 to '06 - but overall the US economy grew tremendously during that period. Nearly everyone's pissed about the way he took rates to 1% and left them there but he also got us through several crises, including the '87 crash. To characterize his performance as nothing but bubble building is false, IMHO.

"Moral hazard" is a joke. There is no morality in money and markets. Trying to right wrongs via Fed rate policy is misguided at best.
 
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