ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from avarus:

Similair story on Crude. Forecast predicted we would go to 93-96.
So I will look to initiate short at those levels.

I'm looking for 97, as there is a gap that will be closed at around 97.25 on the January contract.
 
Quote from optioncoach:

Does it make sense to go short all 4 as they move together. If you get such a signal why not go short one of them in size so you dont have to manage 4 at the same time or deal with 4 spreads or whips. Just curious.

When I first started trading FX I used to trade all major yen pairs. I was under the impression that that was diversification.

I have found it to be considerably more efficient and profitable to trade just one.
 
Quote from avarus:

Hi DMartin-

Nice to see you back. 1560 is based on a forecasting method I came up with after lots of programming and backtesting. It seems to work quite well. Is also why I hold short to 1488 if long failed at 1503 which it did.

Thank you, DMartin
 
Quote from optioncoach:

Does it make sense to go short all 4 as they move together. If you get such a signal why not go short one of them in size so you dont have to manage 4 at the same time or deal with 4 spreads or whips. Just curious.

Good question.

The only reason I believe it would be good to diversy is if your size is just too large for one single instrument.

Wonder what B1S2/Riskarb think about this.
 
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