ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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australian monetary policy statement in 1 hr...

canadians cut today...(surprise), australians should follow suit, otherwise the pair rallies...given the FOMC meeting approaching.
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

..what do you think the probabilities are we traverse the NFP and FOMC volatility without touching 1490...again.

..I think Atticus might know some pricing on that. I put the probabilities at 5%.

Prob of touching 1490 ES anytime before the close on Fed Wednesday is ~22% based upon the fairval of the Dec ES 1490 touch exotic [22/100 mid].
 
Quote from mbusch:

In AH, short from 1466.00.

EDIT: That wasn't a good idea. Out for -1. I'll look to short again higher in the 67.50-69.00 area.

Right now the 15 min stochastic is topping out and the ES is sitting just below the 61% retracement. The 1 min stochastic is moving up. it looks like you probably might get that 67.50.
 
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