ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Spooz Top:

i thought you actually had an idea of how this thing works......guess not.....:confused:

this is something you need to be aware of ...as it is not "natural" supply & demand but artificial buying....as was in the late `90`s to prop the market..........& we all know how that ended in 2k!!!!!
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I don't have the time to go into this now, but, yes, of course there is manipulation in the markets, but I am not convinced that there is some PPT ready to screw shorts.

There are plenty of other forces to do that--the Fed, for one. Brokerages houses, for another. Mutual fund managers who want their year-end bonus, that's three

But no one can know for sure who's doing what. Their collective actions, however, are knowable. Indeed, they are evident on the charts, and that is what I focus on.

The certain what is far more important to me than the unknowable why. :-)
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

The most demoralizing thing that could happen to the market--i.e. "bulls"--would be to drive this to unchanged in around 45 minutes to an hour, and then to whack it back down so the market closes on its lows.
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Getting close. There's plenty of time for a cascade to end the day.

Waiting.
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

I don't have the time to go into this now, but, yes, of course there is manipulation in the markets, but I am not convinced that there is some PPT ready to screw shorts.

There are plenty of other forces to do that--the Fed, for one. Brokerages houses, for another. Mutual fund managers who want their year-end bonus, that's three

But no one can know for sure who's doing what. Their collective actions, however, are knowable. Indeed, they are evident on the charts, and that is what I focus on.

The certain what is far more important to me than the unknowable why. :-)
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http://desertoftherealecononomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2005_09_30_archive.html

you`ve got alot to learn,man.................i can`t believe i`m even wasting time debating this.


you also need to admit when you`re wrong,which tells me you struggle with the markets despite writing long commentary.
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

Getting close. There's plenty of time for a cascade to end the day.

Waiting.
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how about an actual... plus 10 day. :) spilling us over the 60 minute trendy.
1533...microsoft earnings...
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Out of all ES positions at 1530. Out of NQ at 2171.50. If it bounces, then it bounces. I will look for new longs.

I will only look long for the time being. Demonstration ES trade is now complete. Notice how with no criteria except for "trend is up" it was difficult to lose large sums of money. The initial trade was made at 1537.75 (with additions), and the trade was ended at 1530. This is why I believe in trading with the predominant trend only so as to give a better chance at profit. No profit was made in ES this time, in fact I had a loss, but the much larger NQ trade was a winner at rougky 145 points per contract. Full position in, Full position out is the way to trade and get maximum benefit. :)

Long Term Trend continues to be long in equities and I will seek entries in that direction only.
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It would be nice if you could provide the board with the general R:R and W:L as well as %Win vs. %Loss stats for the instruments that you trade.

What I'm seeing is pretty incredible ... vey small shakeout losses, a few breakevens, and serious gains in the area of 1:5 to 1:10 on a R:R basis.

So if you're system for entering and exiting trades is at least 70%, you're pretty much home free.

Good trading,

JJ
 
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