ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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I must say thanx to some traders' advice on this thread I have concentrated more on price action and .... the results are visible. I am more in the positive territory with my trades and no longer get stopped out .... as much. So for those who dispense quality education (which is a lot of guys, dolls on this particular thread), I salute you! :D
 
Quote from princessa:

is it the second rise above this level (white circle) that you're looking for? (i.e., right half of the "w")

The confirmation is when the middle swing of the W bottom or the M top (white circle) is taken out by a closing bar.

Anek
 
that 54 TL was a nice lo risk sell......took a meager 2 point profit on it just so i could get out of here & run some errands.

if we take out that 30 min TL.....i believe that wedge will come into play ..........looks like everyone i swaiting on non farm/jobs report before committing here.

B1....i too was also wondering about your uncle point "outside the noise" of course?
 
Spooz, could you clarify the "wedge" you've been talking about. You posted a chart earlier but it didn't show a wedge, more of a symmetrical triangle or pennant. As I understand the terminology, a "wedge" formation is a triangle where both upper and lower trendlines slant in the same direction -- a "rising wedge" or a "falling wedge". By contrast, a "pennant" is a triangle where the two trendlines are moving in opposite directions towards one another. The difference is significant, as a "wedge" is usually a reversal pattern while a "pennant" is usually a continuation (consolidation) pattern.

In that context, could you clarify what you're looking at here? Thanks!
 
Quote from tomahawk:

Possible 'W' forming on the Dow right now ... 1:24 ET .

Edit: Actually, Anek, is it one of those M bottoms you were looking for?

Nevermind. ... looks like it's be breaking now, but here was the chart.
 

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Quote from mbusch:

Spooz, could you clarify the "wedge" you've been talking about. You posted a chart earlier but it didn't show a wedge, more of a symmetrical triangle or pennant. As I understand the terminology, a "wedge" formation is a triangle where both upper and lower trendlines slant in the same direction -- a "rising wedge" or a "falling wedge". By contrast, a "pennant" is a triangle where the two trendlines are moving in opposite directions towards one another. The difference is significant, as a "wedge" is usually a reversal pattern while a "pennant" is usually a continuation (consolidation) pattern.

In that context, could you clarify what you're looking at here? Thanks!

technically you`re right....a wedge is a rising or decending & eventually comes to an to an apex or coil.

i should rename it & call it a decending channel on that previous 30min chart i showed.....thanks for pointing that out as it is significant.

15 min right now would be a triangle that is coiling up & waiting to pop.(attached)
 

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Quote from mbusch:

To the upside?

crap shoot right here.........trend is up overall ,imo but it would`nt surprise me to see that 30 min TL crack down to bottom of wedge to shake out weak longs right befor the # tomorrow.

right now i sold the TL at 52.75.....stop at 54.50 because the R/R is there.....hi/mid 40`s target out weighs 7 ticks.....i expect to be stopped being that the power is up ,imo.....but i accept it.......anytime i can skw odds in my favor i`ll take it.

edit: dow/Ym giving hints of a leg down........

last swing lo to 50 was a nice scalp buy of the 30 min.....but just missed it as i walked in.......i feel more comfortable being long down here than short.....but as long as risk is defined so be it.
 
My chart tells me that we're confined in a triangle. It's gotta pop one way or the other and it's prolly wise to just stay out until then.
 
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