ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from optioncoach:

So it is either going to be a tight rangebound day or a day with a nice directional move.... ok :D

How often do we have trend down/up days? How many traders fight that?
When do people lose big? On trend days!

Mental scenarios for the discretionary trader, call them whatever you want. Preparation.

Okay, I give up.

So yeah, we are going up or down :D
 
Nearly every day has trend to it. --Even the days that appear choppy. There is no reason to be losing big money in ES>

Bias is very important in order to be extraordinarily successful.
 
I wonder if you can guys can tell me your how you approach profit targets daily / weekly / monthly.

I read something yesterday that applied to me, i have had only 1 losing day this month (arbitrary loss of -$150) which is minor.

However, my target has been to average 4 ES points daily and hence 20 ES weekly. This is not per contract, so the target is relatively simple to achieve most days.

Problem is that because i was winning and actually averaging 9 ES per day and 4-5% capital gains weekly (again not per contract - my contract size varies from 1-6 contracts, 4-6 rarely used unless very high probability win), that eventually i was going to have a losing day - chase the loss and again try to end up with a winning day.

This came true yesterday, with a minor loss in the morning affecting my whole psychological balance - i was determined to stay disciplined but unfortunately i could not. Ended up getting chopped for a loss of $1500 until afternoon.

Luckily, and i say luckily that i regained most of this loss with the last blast upwards in the afternoon.

My question is of consistency; losses are inevitable in this game - how do you guys approach your targets. Do most try to do what i do - make small gains each and every day or do you accept that some days will be losers and go for a few home runs each month.

I feel i am in for a massive down day - by which i mean 2-3 grand as due to my consistency approach - as represented my my performance yesterday that i am finding it harder and harder to lose on any given day.

Is my approach foolish or is the consistent results proving i am on the right track? Any thoughts and advice will be welcome.

:(
 
Quote from Mins:

I wonder if you can guys can tell me your how you approach profit targets daily / weekly / monthly.

:(

Your profits (4 and 20) are too small to make up for and vastly exceed the losses. --in my view
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Your profits are too small to make up for and vastly exceed the losses. --in my view

I agree my targets are very small - you are correct in that $1500 loss would wipe out most of my gains from the previous week.

I am still trying to find the right approach, my account size is relatively small - i have capital behind me to increase the size but i am waiting to see if i can consistently churn out good returns for another 6 months.

Technically trading to my plan - my loss should be no more that $1000 on any given day. I really let myself down yesterday.

Any other thoughts?
 
Quote from Mins:


Any other thoughts?

For entry purposes, I ignore all countertrend signals even though they may look inviting. This way, I miss countertrend gains, but am able to trade for bigger gains overall.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Trend continues long here. I am still holding the larger NQ long position and the smaller ES long position looking for bigger gains than this. :)

Increasing ES position 50 percent on a pullback to 1539.75

So you DO trade countertrend, within the larger trend?
 
Housing number should cause quite a reaction. Rumor is that it was leaked. And very negative. That number will get interpreted either way. (Reaction low IMO.)

Neggie number, could be more points for the camp for lowering rates again argument...etc.
 
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