ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Buy1Sell2:

A day trader believes they have less exposure because they are watching the screen and can be out with a tight stop. Thus, they believe they can use high margin. This is not true. The exposure is just the same during the day as it is overnight, so it is best to trade the size that would make you comfortable overnight or through a report. :)

Not necessarily. Time equals exposure.

The more time one is in a trade, the longer one is exposed to the unknown. One who trades overnight with X positions risks more than a daytrader who trades with the same size.

Daytraders, especially those undercapitalized and overconfident, ARE often tempted to take on more risk by taking on more positions, which adds exposure. Adding positions actually in a sense speeds up time.

Likewise, the longer a person lives, the more likely he will die from a plane crash, or be struck by lightning. Given enough time, those fates would happen to everyone (not that I am expecting that to happen to me, knock on wood :-)).

In other words, a trader who takes on 1 position might suffer a max drawdown of 20% over ten years. Another trader with the exact same system/method who takes on 5 positions with the same margin would tend to suffer that same drawdown every two years and to risk totally blowing out every ten years (20X5=100%).
 
Quote from apex82:

Time to start looking for longs...

long here at 1487.75
stop at 1485.50

target 1517

2.25 stop

25-30 pt target


Still short PXP and long nat gas

Moved stop 2 ticks down so it was 1 tick below the low at 1485 last night...

Trade is looking sweet. Market is rallying as expected.

Will look for weakness in 1515-1517 area to reverse short if it can get up there. Most likely wait for tomorrow to get short though due to the fed.
 
Quote from apex82:

Time to start looking for longs...

long here at 1487.75
stop at 1485.50

target 1517

2.25 stop

25-30 pt target


Still short PXP and long nat gas
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Quote from apex82:

Moved stop 2 ticks down so it was 1 tick below the low at 1485 last night...

Trade is looking sweet. Market is rallying as expected.

FTR, you moved your stop 3 ticks down, last nite's low was at 1485.

If you're protective stop was at 1485.50, 2 ticks down would be 1485 (last nite's low). 3 ticks down would be 1484.75.

Good trading,

JJ

P.S. Good save. :p
 
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FTR, you moved your stop 3 ticks down, last nite's low was at 1485.

If you're protective stop was at 1485.50, 2 ticks down would be 1485 (last nite's low). 3 ticks down would be 1484.75.

Good trading,

JJ [/B][/QUOTE]

ya 3 ticks.. your right. Just busy trading.
 
Quote from apex82:

2 patterns showing indecision....

I would like to see a rally to 1515-1517 followed by a huge decline.. but thats probably just because i am long.

Here is the follow up on the 2 patterns. You can clearly see the line in the sand was taken to the upside and impulsing market to the upside resumed.
 

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Quote from JimmyJam:

nobody's hating on apex82 princessa, least of all your boyfriend.

we just think it's better for people to actually, well, learn how to think (and trade) for themselves.

after all, there's nothing new under the sun, everything is constantly repeating patterns, over and over again.

good trading,

jj

rofl...just reading this post...lol

duuuude...who's my boyfriend???? (can i guess???)
 
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