ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Spectre2007:

the break above 80 should have happened, in the AM, and this seems just engineered to run upside short stops.

plus your short vol, so this ES trade would hedge that a little.

Short vols and long deltas, correct. I'm predisposed to take a marginal trade if it offers a hedge.

Wareco -- thanks. It was close.
 
Quote from Sponger:

Wave, thats bot 12 units, bot 3, bot 3 - correct? Not the reverse....

No it was averaged down, but I also average up once the move is under way. I don't advocate averaging down unless you really understand how markets and price behaves and have developed a system to achieve that, otherwise it's suicide. You really have to be confident of the reversal. Averaging up buying every break of peaks and selling every break of troughs works just as well, you just want to catch the wave as soon as possible to benefit from it.
 
Quote from wave:

No it was averaged down, but I also average up once the move is under way. I don't advocate averaging down unless you really understand how markets and price behaves and have developed a system to achieve that, otherwise it's suicide. You really have to be confident of the reversal. Averaging up buying every break of peaks and selling every break of troughs works just as well, you just want to catch the wave as soon as possible to benefit from it.

Thanks for clarifying it, that's what I thought. And also thanks for pointing out the risk of reverse pyramiding, not everyone might have caught that. Mathematically, you want your largest portion on first, then scale in on smaller and smaller units 10, 8, 6, 4 etc....then again, the math behind it doesn't know what the market is doing (and what your experience tells you) at the time you put the trade on.
 
Getting in late here...overslept...runny nose and sore throat.

At 12:52 ET, short at 1475.50
At 1:08 ET, covered short at 1468.75 for +6.75

At 1:19 ET, short at 1471.75
BS 1473.75 (2 points)

PT1 1466
PT2 1445

Moved BS to breakeven

So far, ES is running right down the price channel as charted by Spectre, textbook.
 
Quote from BoyBrutus:

Thanks Spec

THis is a great fundamental concept, that was explained clearly (psychology behind it etc), or some parts in
mastering the markets by Tom Williams

PM me for link

pdf

This is an excellent resource.
 
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