ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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sorry vertigo was away from screen with limits in place.

the market is facing:

1) oil approaching 80 dollars
2) subprime fiasco
3) housing slump
4) lackluster retail sales
5) political debate

when the market failed to break above highs, and yet is resilient and hangs around highs before GOOG numbers, it shows where they wanted to close it this week.

I'm pretty surprised that GOOG numbers didn't manifest pre release in the market itself.

The market will test 40-45 again. I'm becoming a intermediate term bear. The situation in terms of a macro perspective, is that we are seeing lagging positive effects from the liquidity expansion. There are hints that world macro situation is turning down. The world macro environment is akin to a super oil tanker making a turn, it turns very slowly but it does turn.

I see a bad time for this market, the fact it fails to respond to warning signs in a appropriate manner means its disjointed from the real world. I will play it as it goes up but also I will be getting short at every new high, and rolling the short position over. And mainting a short at the highs.

edit: aftermarket stop clearing underway.

edit: I'm generally very bullish on the market, but it doesn't feel right to me. This could be a contrary indicator, and prices could just fade my worries.
 
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