Quote from osorico:
Now Im not quite here yet, but here's the deal...
Done for the week and chilling until I go out later on (not that I want to, it's
freezing and I don't, but a friend is celebrating his 33rd, so what the hey) so I figured I'd chat a minute.
Points per contract only matters to you, the trader.
True, and the points as listed are what the system I'm trading should deliver, if I
trade it straight and stop improvising.
The real measure is whether or not trades were/are opened, maintained, and closed per YOUR rules and plan. A good trade gone bad is no different than a bad trade turned good.
Amen to the first statement, it should be the thought that rules the traders' mind and the force which guides their hand when pushing the button.
If you're defining a bad trade as one which is taken according to your rules but just doesn't work out, I'll agree with you 100%.
The same applies to however you define "overtrading". Does a scalper overtrade if trades are opened, maintained, and closed based on rules and a plan? The only one that cares about points per contract is the trader. Points per contract is an otherwise useless measure of success.
I'm subjectively defining overtrading as a situtation where the trades makes a good trade, then at least 50% of the time turns around and makes a bad trade that wipes-out or severly limits his/her gains ... if a trader is doing that,
there's something wrong with that program and you need to take a look at it (in my case,
impatience,
lack of discipline and
greed would be the primary culprits).
During an
average week the ES most definitely delivers the potential to make $100 per contract, per day,
as measured on a weekly basis, and I think this is a pretty good measurement for a trader to gauge their E-mini trading level. (Not matter how I try to re-write that paragraph it comes out a little confusing, what I am saying is this. The ES will pretty much allow a trader with a good/great system the ability to end up with $500 per week, however, they may not get the opportunity to trade it
every day ... but at the end of the week, they should still be able to gross $500).
You can scale the amount down by 20% if you're trading the NQ, and maybe down by 30-40% if trading the YM (but by that same token, you'd need to increase it by at least 50% if your focus is the ER). I like to bounce back and forth, so I'll use that median number.
Don't believe me?
You the trader just look over a weeks worth of trading of your setups, and there should be plenty of opportunites to make those gains with your system ... and if not, you can change the levels according to what it can deliver, and let that be your
BENCHMARK.
Osorico
Good trading,
JJ