ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Right now I am pretty much at break even on my overall position (13th attempt so far). I am hoping for a resolution to this consolidation period one way or the other. This method is at its most advantageous near the all time highs/lows. I would not (edited :)) say that I am a complete imbecile in respect of TA analyses, but how many people are certain of the outcome near the extreme levels, until it breaks certain levels & sustains them market can go either way right here.
 
Quote from Charly:

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How do you know??

There is no way I know for sure. Its just a gut feeling. Most of the best traders are more psychologists then traders. Its all odds and probabilities.
 
Quote from romik:

Right now I am pretty much at break even on my overall position (13th attempt so far). I am hoping for a resolution to this consolidation period one way or the other. This method is at its most advantageous near the all time highs/lows. I would not (edited :)) say that I am a complete imbecile in respect of TA analyses, but how many people are certain of the outcome near the extreme levels, until it breaks certain levels & sustains them market can go either way right here.

Romik, it seems like you are experiencing murphys law as soon as you tried this new strategy. That is apparent with any new system etc, most likely the worst drawdown starts the first day. I dont know why, its just always seems to happen. You picked a hard time to start this. We are in a multi-month consolidation. It is going to break out very soon, and in a big way. Hang tight
 
Quote from apex82:

Romik, it seems like you are experiencing murphys law as soon as you tried this new strategy. That is apparent with any new system etc, most likely the worst drawdown starts the first day. I dont know why, its just always seems to happen. You picked a hard time to start this. We are in a multi-month consolidation. It is going to break out very soon, and in a big way. Hang tight

Hehe, I was counting more on beginners' luck

I recall the ole days running a business, a drawdown/breakeven could last the whole summer period, that's when undercapitalized business owners would either start reducing costs substantially or considering closure, I knew the business was good & very competitive & having a surplus of $ in the bank as a 'cushion' I knew I could ride out those times.
 
Do you mind me asking what range you are using before reversing? ie your are long at 1437 and it moves to 1436 then you reverse. You cant really reverse on every tick as moves up below the price correct?
 
Quote from apex82:

Do you mind me asking what range you are using before reversing? ie your are long at 1437 and it moves to 1436 then you reverse. You cant really reverse on every tick as moves up below the price correct?

1441.50-1439.25
 
just took 6 pts on that es long. I rentered at the test of 1423 with a 2 tick stop.. thats what I am talking about. STOPS above market.
 
Went long at 1428.50 got out at 1430.00. Typically I would have stayed in until 1431.25, but I don't like to be in a trade for very long this late in the day.
 
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