ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from apex82:

ES pulled back from area as stated in a hurry right to the buy zone. When everyone else was thinking the market was going to drop drop drop, i was buying. It then progressed to retest highs which was profit target 1 and 2. I now have a BE stop and will be holding for a homerun. Here is the scenario for tomorrow...

ES is now in wave 5, showing a possible completion in the 1403.75 area or 1407.50. I would like to pinpoint one over the other, but the odds are 50/50 for which area has the better odds due to price action data today. This 5 wave move is also completing in the area of a massive daily pivot which gives it increased strength. Another thing going for it is the lack of retesting yesterdays lows. I was expecting a double bottom to be put in place before a move like this. This makes the run more extended and overbought. I will be shorting the 1407.50 area on another account with a 1.5 stop with smaller size then normal. This is due because it is countertrend, market is coming off daily level support, and I know there is a shitload of stops above those highs that they are eager to run. Once again, this is a risk of 1.5 for a minimum profit target of 10pts+. A more conservative entry then a freight train entry would be to wait for the drop to happen off the level and then short a retest. Best case scenario is if the market opens in the sell area and starts selling off immediately, if not then a move up to the sell area within the first half hour would increase the trade as well. If this move is confirmed we will be putting in a massive double top on the daily charts and could get an extended move to the downside over the next week.

First target for wave 5 completion hit now holding runners short... you cant ask for a better crystal ball then that
 
Quote from romik:

~1403?

No, I need to see more strength other than just pullbacks in a short term downtrend. 1403 could be a good buy but the technicals are not there yet to support a base long position in my view.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

No, I need to see more strength other than just pullbacks in a short term downtrend. 1403 could be a good buy but the technicals are not there yet to support a base long position in my view.

Please go on, obviously you are looking for more than a long grail, please explain.
 
Quote from romik:

Please go on, obviously you are looking for more than a long grail, please explain.

I'd like a congestion/festering area with divergence and failure swing. If I miss the opportunity , so be it.
 
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