ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Last Friday EURO/USD has broken a certain resistance level, so I am going to longer TFs on ES, if USD continues to slide this will have to be reflected in the S&P, that's what I think. So this might actually be the turning point in this year's run-up, time will tell. Perhaps I am totally wrong.
 
SPY option indicate 139 ~ 1390 for Dec. Will probably pivot up and down from this point til expiration or at least until interest starts building elsewhere.
 
Quote from romik:

Last Friday EURO/USD has broken a certain resistance level, so I am going to longer TFs on ES, if USD continues to slide this will have to be reflected in the S&P, that's what I think. So this might actually be the turning point in this year's run-up, time will tell. Perhaps I am totally wrong.

I also agree...that 1.30 level on the EUR/USD was very significant, i know i'll be buying if it pulls back to that level and selling es & ym on some bounces.
 
A weak USD is of course great for export, so we can't exclude the benefits derived from a weak USD, but FWIW I believe that firstly there has to be a reaction and considering the way this market has been advancing recently, the idea of at least a solid pullback becomes more imminent IMO. 3 day chart on S&P is registering a failure swing, but last time it wasn't "allowed", so it will be interesting what happens on Wednesday.
 
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