ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from tradingclueles:

I didnt mean to curse obviously but i was so pissed at this unstabilized market. besides very bad day today i would have never thought it would go up to 1330 thats bs

Thanks for the understanding TC and I welcome your posting here in clean fashion. I look forward to your future posts!
 
I can see exactly where I missed my cover on my 1324.75 short reversal trade, ended up being the intraday trading low had I covered. Another lesson learned. Good chart btw.
 
Forget me earlier questions since I finaly saw the lines you were referring to. I am only reposting the specific questions I had which I am curious about. Thanks for the time:

Quote from optioncoach:

QUESTION 1: What is the first candle in your example, the 6:00 AM candle?

QUESTION 2: OK after looking closer I understand bit better. In the chart though most of the action was above the Horizontal line but it moved lower the first hour. How would you know to play it as a down day bad signal or just a short dip before the long-term trend. Are you saying you go long above the high of the first candle and hold for 2 points and if it moves lower you reverse and short for 2 points, then wait until it passes the Vertical line and trade in the direction of which side the most action occurred with respect to the horizontal line?

Did that make any sense lol?
 
Quote from tradingclueles:

hey sosa man thx its just u know frustrating when u know every one is expecting a down trend and then the market just looks the opposit way. but thx for the consolation.

This rally smells fishy ... it didn't have the proper volume for this one day rally. Expect it to fill the gap next week.
 
Quote from lilduckling:

This rally smells fishy ... it didn't have the proper volume for this one day rally. Expect it to fill the gap next week.

Nice to hear from you duck. Would you be able to describe the volume difference in numbers from what you would expect to see on a legit breakout day? I'm interested as I am not used to looking at volume.
 
Quote from optioncoach:

Forget me earlier questions since I finaly saw the lines you were referring to. I am only reposting the specific questions I had which I am curious about. Thanks for the time:

Ze formula iz little different. Dr Clayburg suggested puting a line through the middle of opening candle on 5 min chart I believe, on your chart the time stamp is around 6.30, though volume indicates that maybe you are in a different time zone, that would be 9.30-9.35 EST. So the vertical would go through 10.30 candle and one would look at the prevailing buy/sell interest above and below DDF (Directional Day Filter) line from 9.30 to 10.30. But in my experience there is no holy grail there, just another indicator, would work 1 day, another day you would give your bucks back to the market. Not bad I suppose for people that haven't got a clue of what's happening.
 
In the interest of "getting it right" I can offer the following;

Dr. Clayburg suggests you bisect the opening bar or candle. If you are located on the West Coast, your opening bar or candle would be the 6:30am bar or candle. If located on the East Coast, your opening bar or candle would be the 9:30am bar or candle.

At the 60 min mark (or the 90 minute mark depending on the target market) you place a vertical line through that bar or candle. If within this time period most of the price action took place above the line, it is assumed that at the end of the day price will close higher than the open. and vice versa.

What I like about Dr. Clayburg's work is that he suggests the trader test for him/her self to verify his findings. In his own research, he found that the DDF was about 75% accurate for the ES market using a 60 min time frame.

The idea that this works only intermittently is incorrect. But comments to that effect are not uncommon. Most often they originate from folks too damn lazy to do their own testing.

I use the DDF line as my "line in the sand" every trading day. For me, it works quite well.

Good luck
Steve
 
Quote from steve46:

The idea that this works only intermittently is incorrect. But comments to that effect are not uncommon. Most often they originate from folks too damn lazy to do their own testing.


Steve
In the interest of not having this escalate, let's stipulate here that Romik is not one of the lazy ones that don't do their own testing. Thanks for the clarification here Steve, I will be forward testing this a bit next week.--
 
I've done some charts with DDF and 1st hour range, so everyone can draw their own conclusions to how tradable DDF is, to me it is simply another Pivot, like you said "line in the sand" ie another S/R level.
 

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