<i>"Never short a dull market"</i>
I've easily lost $10,000s thru the years bucking that age-old market cliche`.
Price action levitates easily on light volume, almost always comes down on normal to high volume. Very seldom do we see a low-volume selloff.
Shorting in dull markets works... occasionally. Selling below the daily pivot point (zone of weakness) or better yet, up against critical resistance are two of the instances where selling can work.
This morning the ES had measured support at 1446.75 and 1446.25 that held. Buying 1447 or 1447.50 would have been above key intraday support levels.
My sole play was long ER 815.90 = exit 817.90 and done for the day. Next up will be the ES reaction to non-farm payroll drivel in tomorrow's globex session. Done 'til then.
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When in doubt, play the long side from low levels of support during pre-holiday sessions. Go back and test that ahead of all major holidays and three-day weekends. The majority of time it is a low volume, upward bias when examining years' worth of data.
There's a tip for y'all that the OMNI guy isn't aware of. Buy the low-volume dips in pre-holiday sessions... upward drift is your friend.
<b>Happy Easter / Holidays</>.