ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Spectre2007:

keep an eye on the bond market, if you see the bond market turn and flight to safety is seen, the spooz will turn. Orders will hit one market and another market will be utilized to make profit in the initial market.

The bond market has already been uptrending . The buy that I mentioned the other day was on a pullback of the uptrend (both daily and weekly). A further bond rally does not necessarily mean further down for the SP market. Certainly the market would have to have some downs in it's future of course. It always does.
 
1 day post a plunge is the 2nd most dangerous moment, where risk/reward becomes skewed disproportionately so. If you understand trading dynamics, its the only time extreme size can be used and have the R:R in your favor.

Once intraday you detect a failure in a expectancy wave, then scalpers/daytraders smash it...floor traders who speculate will smash it hard.
 
Quote from apex82:

Going short huge size at 1424-1425 addon 1430- 1430.50 stop 1434

Looking for 78.6 of the lows made yesterday..

Moving short up to 1427-1430 stop at 1434 looking for 30points + if it can get up there.... It is a gorgeous zone.

Russel looks beatiful for a short in 803-804.50 at this point.
 
Quote from TrendPro:

11...no mental stops
12...no guessing
13...no predictions
14...no hoping
15...no assumptions
16...no ego
17...no opinion
18...no bias
19...no bottom / top picking (= 12 + 16)
20...no averaging losers

21...no widening stops to give a proven loser more room to work itself out somehow (= 11 thru 19 above)

just a little reminder, these rules exist to protect us from the destructive power of our ego...

Reviewing yesterdays numerous posts in this thread, I took note that each of the above rules was repeatedly broken yesterday. This journal now stands as a clear example and warning that mental stops, using an incomplete trading method, the inability to admit a mistake quickly and take a reasonable (small) loss, and not following your method when losses grow and take control are time tested direct paths enabling the market to inflict real damage to you.

If you cannot follow these simple rules, designed to protect you, every day and in every single trade, then you should not be trading in the highly leveraged futures markets.
 
new blood in the hedge fund world might not have exited with prudent risk management, the drop was too fast for mental stops.

I think there will be some forced liquidation of some funds.
 
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