ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

Status
Not open for further replies.
Quote from Mins:

You got balls shorting at those levels. I would rather wait for a bounce to catch a short move especially if using a tight stop.

Hope it keeps heading down for you.

Thats why I use a tight stop. Since its not a higher probability but a good risk/reward. I caught almost 7 points before using a 1.5 point stop by recognizing when the support "cracked" and that if they reversed it, the trade was over. You don't need more than a small stop for that kind of trading.
 
Quote from tommymoose:

That's why I use a tight stop. Since its not a higher probability but a good risk/reward. I caught almost 7 points before using a 1.5 point stop by recognizing when the support "cracked" and that if they reversed it, the trade was over. You don't need more than a small stop for that kind of trading.

Ya i hear you but risk/reward can be anything you make it.

I may have a 10 point target on each trade - with a tight stop. Therefore, i have great R:R - does not make it a good trade.

Major issue with using R:R like that is looking for expected profit target with a high probability of getting hit without any retrace.

That's the way i view it anyway - when using tight stops i would never want to short right at the lows especially at a support zone as they gonna turn it slightly to take you out.

Good trading
 
Yeah I know what you're saying. You can definitely camoflauge a bad trade by saying the R/R is good.

Anyway, here is a trade where I use a larger stop because I consider it higher probability.

Short 1995.25 stop 1998.25 target 1984.75 (maybe 1987... gotta see)
 
Quote from bvam1:

Might rebound to 83-84. Good place to short.

Very nice zone to short but a lot of people probably waiting for that retrace - therefore they probably not take it so high just yet or take out the zone completely.

Either way i would look for a reversal signal at those levels before getting in.
 
Quote from tommymoose:

Yeah I know what you're saying. You can definitely camoflauge a bad trade by saying the R/R is good.

Anyway, here is a trade where I use a larger stop because I consider it higher probability.

Short 1995.25 stop 1998.25 target 1984.75

I like this one much better, offers good R:R on that one. I am short also at 1280.50 in ES looking 76.50.

Again i did not get the bounce i wanted but bulls still look weak here.

Could get blasted rather quickly however.
 
Yeah, its anything but definite. Just trying to stay with the trend and picking targets just before expected support levels. I don't enjoy having those days where you look at the chart at EOD and say "all I had to do was get short with a small stop and I could have ridden this thing all the way down", ya know? :)

Downward sloping TL broken, not looking good.
 
Quote from tommymoose:

Yeah, its anything but definite. Just trying to stay with the trend and picking targets just before expected support levels. I don't enjoy having those days where you look at the chart at EOD and say "all I had to do was get short with a small stop and I could have ridden this thing all the way down", ya know? :)

I hear ya, its just probabilities at the end of the day. Sticking to a trend system then there is no way that any trader could not have scored a lot of points of the shorts today.

Got to stick to the plan and keeping taking those shots if opportunity is there.

Object for me is not to catch all moves just a little chunk of each on going with the trend.

I am always a little bit more worried with my shorts after we already had a 3 wave move down and my turn zone at 76-78.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I am looking for an area to reenter long. Probably not today though. Weekly chart is very bullish. Monthly though not so much.
For weekly and monthly, in what price level will you chagne your view?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top