ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

[Jayford]

Quote from Spectre2007:

cash spooz, and financial sector side by side..

notice how the cash spooz is following.. what has happened..in the financial sector.

Spectre,

what TA software are you using?

 

[Spectre2007]

looking at different factors, and timelines, and FED easing cycles...


basically the 3rd-4th quarter is when market should crash..

from now and till then ES will chopp up to bust those different stop clusters..

there is a macro trading principle its hard for fundies to ignore, in that usually about 12 months out from the initial cut, economy starts showing stimulative effects, now this time around it could be different, but this trade is hard to ignore, same thing with bond yields, bond yields should rise to bust some positional short stops..

 

[Spectre2007]

Quote from Jayford:

Spectre,

what TA software are you using?

DTN prophetX...

relatively cheap..monthly fees are like 200..but can get higher based on what exchanges you want and products ...realtime, I've been very happy with it.

sometimes in their forex data they have noticeable errors that messes up some indicators, but there is so much free forex charting software it doesn't matter.

 

[smilingsynic]

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

One reason is that I don't like to look at the screen all day and thus would not be in position to get the shorts reloaded etc. This is a trade off for time.

??

There are some key resistance levels that would effectively serve as buy to cover levels that are well below 1440 (the last stop level disclosed here). There is no need to watch the screen all day.

Even if you lose most/all of your profits in the ES, I''d expect that you're comfortably ahead on the Euro and the 10-year that you'd not miss them all that much. Those markets, I would contend, are among the best for your kind of trend-following.

 

[Spectre2007]

Quote from Spectre2007:

looking at different factors, and timelines, and FED easing cycles...


basically the 3rd-4th quarter is when market should crash..

from now and till then ES will chopp up to bust those different stop clusters..

there is a macro trading principle its hard for fundies to ignore, in that usually about 12 months out from the initial cut, economy starts showing stimulative effects, now this time around it could be different, but this trade is hard to ignore, same thing with bond yields, bond yields should rise to bust some positional short stops..

look for media/tv/newspapers to tout... 'economy is turning around'....as summer gets underway..

August I believe was the first cut...

 

[storm121]

Quote from volente_00:

If you expect bounces, what is the point of letting the position lose 50,75, 100+ points of profit when you could cover and reshort? The commission excuse is really lame considering a round trip in ES can be had for less that $4. which is not even a tick on the position.

the guy who started this thread is worthless.that became evident today.

he wouldnt accept the fact that the bottom is in and from here the market goes up.

I bet you he feeds his kids pop tarts for breakfast.

blackguard

 

[storm121]

LET ME POST AGAIN:

TODAY WAS THE BOTTOM.ITS UP FROM HERE ON OUT.

TODAY MARKS THE BEGINNING OF A LONG TERM RALLY.BACK UP THE TRAILER AND BUY BUY BUY.

BLACKGUARD

 

[Spectre2007]

Quote from storm121:

LET ME POST AGAIN:

TODAY WAS THE BOTTOM.ITS UP FROM HERE ON OUT.

TODAY MARKS THE BEGINNING OF A LONG TERM RALLY.BACK UP THE TRAILER AND BUY BUY BUY.

BLACKGUARD

the market will crash in 3rd 4th quarter.

 

[startraitor]

Look at 00-01, last election cycle. Contested election broke the market. I agree in probability for crash in q3-q4 but am a Reagan optimist.

Quote from Spectre2007:

the market will crash in 3rd 4th quarter.

 

[opt789]

Uncanny. He posts "up from here on out" and we instantly start falling, another 10 point move. This has got to be a record for best contra indicator.