ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from smilingsynic:

The principle that one must let winners ride is often underemphasized in favor of the principle that one must cut losers short. Imo, it is HARDER for most to let winners ride and EASIER to cut losers. No wonder: all of the research on trading suggests that most traders end up losers anyway, so it is easy to think that all one must do is cut losers to get into the winner's circle.

It is not enough to cut losers. There have to be winners, big winners, to make it above breakeven. This is true at all levels--intraday included.

I bet many traders who bought Enron DID sell when the trend kept going down. Of course, some who bought high held the stock all the way to the end, but most traders don't fall into into that rookie trap more than once or twice. But how many went short and held all the way, enjoying windfall profits? I bet few. Very, very few.

The propensity to cut winners short is my Achilles heel, and I work on it every day. Trailing stops moved as the position goes in my favor has worked well for me.

Great explanation - i am going to buy and study a few psychology books to help me rewire my brain.

I have a target for each unit i trade, i note each target down in my trade analysis and i have found that 78% of the time my suggested targets have been hit. However, my actual exits reached my targets a measly 11% of the time, even with this analysis i still have a hard time riding the slight retraces.

Hopefully this will get easier with time. :(
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

The principle that one must let winners ride is often underemphasized in favor of the principle that one must cut losers short. Imo, it is HARDER for most to let winners ride and EASIER to cut losers. No wonder: all of the research on trading suggests that most traders end up losers anyway, so it is easy to think that all one must do is cut losers to get into the winner's circle.

It is not enough to cut losers. There have to be winners, big winners, to make it above breakeven. This is true at all levels--intraday included.

I bet many traders who bought Enron DID sell when the trend kept going down. Of course, some who bought high held the stock all the way to the end, but most traders don't fall into into that rookie trap more than once or twice. But how many went short and held all the way, enjoying windfall profits? I bet few. Very, very few.

The propensity to cut winners short is my Achilles heel, and I work on it every day. Trailing stops moved as the position goes in my favor has worked well for me.

ADDENDUM: There is a guy who posts here named Austin Passamonte. He's had some insightful posts on trailing stops for intraday E-mini trading and has a website that has some good stuff on taking profits/losses in a way that maximizes gains/minimizes losses.

Coiledmarkets, or something like that.
 
Quote from smilingsynic:

But how many went short and held all the way, enjoying windfall profits? I bet few. Very, very few.
Me, me, me! :D

On a serious note, you made a very salient point. Some people are very good at cutting their losses early. Unfortunately, that's all they're good at, and those little losses here and there can mount up very fast.
 
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