prices follow the path of least resistance
Quote from mbusch:
Concur. 1455 was roughly the LOD for 7/27, 7/30 and 7/31, so it's a good candidate for strong resistance today. The next level above that that I'm looking at is 1465, which was LOD on 8/2. 8/3 was the "outside day to end all outside days" which totally engulfed the two preceding days' ranges.
If the test of 1455 fails, possible support levels include 1442, 1433, and 1425-6. If we break below 1425, I see nothing but air down to 1402 (fib 138%) or 1391 (Feb-Mar low).
Current price action looks very nice, so holding my long for the test of 1455. Sell stop just raised again to 1446.

Quote from Spooz Top:
feels like they`re getting ready to rip this thing ^.....& walk it up to the fed announcement.....difficult to find entry to work in conjunction with stop.