ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from Spectre2007:

that was two days of strong buying into the close...

something to think about....

if nonfarm payrolls offers a discount...

I will be taking it.

On the other hand it could well be a trap, we have had weeks of successive dip buying, my view is that we will see more red across the board. 240 minute chart on FDAX CAN be viewed as bearish, due to a potential 3 failure swing (completing a bear flag), S&P's weekly divergence hasn't played out to the full yet also.

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1553899>
 

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....daily chart of RSI_EMA_14 was a bullish divergence at the low .... but weekly RSI_EMA_14 is still calling for further downside.....
going to go short if possible....
 
looking to the nonfarm payrolls, the payroll data might come in weak....Next week we have the FOMC meeting.

World markets don't seem to trust this rally. They are still behaving skittish. I would have thought the market would selloff to paint a nice bearish picture for the FED meeting.

If the market rallies too much prematurely, the FED may not shift focus, and the statement may not have the words that are supportive.

The MM's will keep the market under pressure till the FED meeting.

That is one scenario,

levels of support are 1468-70

65

55

42

levels of resistance:

92-96


16-18


28


44


66

expected range is 65------92
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

looking to the nonfarm payrolls, the payroll data might come in weak....Next week we have the FOMC meeting.

World markets don't seem to trust this rally. They are still behaving skittish. I would have thought the market would selloff to paint a nice bearish picture for the FED meeting.

If the market rallies too much prematurely, the FED may not shift focus, and the statement may not have the words that are supportive.

The MM's will keep the market under pressure till the FED meeting.

That is one scenario,

levels of support are 1468-70

65

55

42

levels of resistance:

92-96


16-18


28


44


66

expected range is 65------92


Thanks for some guidance.

I had a short put at 1470 for es end of month expiry. I am assigned a futures position (long) at 1470. -expiring sept. I am holding this position to make some profit.

Your views much appreciated. Thanks
 
no problem...

I get superstitious when I reveal too much, so lot of the stuff I hold back.

But heres something on the charts thats pretty powerful indicator of future direction atleast for a week or so.

No matter what it took to print this...chartists wont ignore this, especially after a test of 200 day MA.
 

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=)

ISM number next.

Jobs number was pretty soft.. unemployment rate ticked up too... not good.

ISM might save the market.. but market should trend down for most of the day.. and maybe find support at 1:30 -2:30 pm..
 
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