ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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240 minute chart is pointing to a basing p/a IMO (ES & DAX), which is likely to provide a possible breakout tomorrow. I personally can't trade a pattern derived from a time-frame like 240, but it will be interesting to watch how it plays out.
 
summation of action today, basically it couldn't hold above 1550. Tommorrow, they still have a chance to hold it up above 50, and then the sentiment shifts the longer its held up above it.

But samething vice versa, the longer it stays below 1550, its implied a retest of Fridays lows, is in order.
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

who's releasing earnings tommorrow?

durable goods should lead to a downdraft of significant proportions, it will come in weak.

Earnings on Tap for the Week of July 23rd - The more notable companies reporting earnings the week of July 23rd include: Mon 7/23: AXP, ALTR, HAL, HAS, MRK, SGP and TXN. Tues 7/23: BIIB, CFC, DD, KMB, UPS, NOC, PEP, AMZN, T, AV, LLY, LMT and X. Weds 7/25: AAPL, CL, COP, ETRD, GLW, FCX, RAI, XRX, NTDOY and SYMC. Thurs 7/26: AET, CELG, CCE, CHI, F, K, LLL, ODP, RTN, DOW, WEN, and XMSR. Fri 7/27: BHI, CCU, ITT, KIM, CVX, FO and IR.


FOTW
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

summation of action today, basically it couldn't hold above 1550. Tommorrow, they still have a chance to hold it up above 50, and then the sentiment shifts the longer its held up above it.

But samething vice versa, the longer it stays below 1550, its implied a retest of Fridays lows, is in order.

Just a suggestion for anyone who cares to watch for it..

What sometimes happens in situations like this, is that price auctions up first. It "drives" up strongly (I call it an impulse move) and then fails. That (failure) is the reversal setup that I would be looking for tomorrow. I would look for price to test 1556 and then fail...

By the way 1556 is the low of 7/19 and the high (actually 1556.25) earlier today..

Finally, be looking for wide range bars. Institutional players use their capital to sweep the market and create wide range bars. This allows them to "strand" other participants and create parabolic drops as they take profits. What I like to do is to scan left and look for previous wide range bars below 1556.

Hope this helps
Good luck
Steve
 
Quote from apex82:

I never give up until proven wrong... these bulls are pretty tough though the past month.

taking profit 1 here.... small size off at 1540 for a massive +13pts

Leaving profit 2 target at 1526 and well be adding more short on the initial morning rally.
 
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