ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Some interesting stuff from stfreak on MM activity. I cannot find the post on how MM's auto populate the ES book so as to be at the best bid and ask, therefore retail will always be behind them so when time permits I will try to summarise what I remember .

Quote from stfreak:



When you are a big player or a market maker, what is the worst situation for you??
Of course getting a fill on the wrong side and not being able to get out due to the lack of liquidity (just imagine a marketmaker trying to get out of a bad trade with a 1000 contacts in the ER2...)
So the large orders in the book are mostly on price levels, where it doesn´t matter, when they are filled, because the marketmaker can offset the risk in another market at a better price (that is, what marketmaking is all about. selling a tick above the fair market price and offset by buying the fair market price)

be aware of the fact, that marketmakers in index futures mostly hedge against a basket of stocks or vice versa. When making a market in the bund, one can offset by hedging in the bobl(it´s more difficult to spot the hedge - trade in the index futures, then in the interest rates)...that´s also, why marketmakers never get squeezed out...they are always hedged.

So that explains also the fact, that large orders are mostly one or two ticks above/below the market, because the MM knows, when there is a fill on that price, he could instantly book in a profit.
 
T-Bond futures (US) closed Friday near HOD and gapped up sharply in Sunday night Globex trading. Could be positive for equities if the close correlation between bonds and equities seen recently continues.
 
In Globex...
L 1518.25 stop 1517.00 (1.25 points)
PT1 1523.25 (5 points)
PT2 1530.00 (11.75 points)

EDIT: stop moved up to break-even, last tick 1521.50 (+3.25)
 
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