ES Journal - 2023/2024

Laissez Faire said:
A calculated gamble. Maybe I got lucky. I wouldn't have done the same if my position was in the middle of a range and close to market at that point. And certainly not on big size.

Worst case scenario I'd lose $3K I figure and that would suck hard, but not be the end of the world.
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I'm not a big fun of holding positions through major news events. Either with futures or stocks.

For long term or swing positions it's different because we get news so often, but for short-term trades, IMHO, even with a positive expectancy, the added risk volatility makes it a suboptimal strategy. I.e. with 50 points of risk, I can make more and better trades than risking 50 points on a coin flip. Plus the negative skew of the slippage. Of course, it's hard to avoid the feeling that you're missing out the largest opportunities.

But it all, of course, depends on your system, personality, etc.

Just talking/writing aloud my opinion, but hey maybe that's why I've never had a nearly 6-figure day :D

Happy it works for you, LF.
 
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Picaso said:
I'm not a big fun of holding positions through major news events. Either with futures or stocks.

For long term or swing positions it's different because we get news so often, but for short-term trades, IMHO, even with a positive expectancy, the added risk volatily makes it a suboptimal strategy. I.e. with 50 points of risk, I can make more and better trades than risking 50 points on a coin flip. Plus the negative skew of the slippage. Of course, it's hard to avoid the feeling that you're missing out the largest opportunities.

But it all, of course, depends on your system, personality, etc.

Just talking/writing aloud my opinion, but hey maybe that's why I've never had a nearly 6-figure day :D

Happy it works for you, LF.
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I usually never do it myself. I made an exception today as my entry was near a possible swing low and I was well in the money at that point on fairly small size.

If you're 3 points in the money on huge size going into a release like that. Well, it's a different story. :)
 
Locking in 23 points here at 98. No need to risk anything more. Just going to see what happens on the Open. No strong opinion as of now. Could easily sell off, too.

But if we catch a bid on the Open, I figure there's a good chance we'll take out yesterday's highs at least by the Close.

Good luck all. :)
 
If NQ recovers yesterday's range and ES holds green - I figure we have a good shot at 5560 +.

Whippy action as the big boys are digesting today's number.

Right now new highs and lows seems equally likely from my POV, but leaning slightly long.
 
GM All: Waited for the dust to settle. No trades till after 7:00 PT.

Done in 2 today: 2 wins +32.
Scaled up in contracts to 2. Testing this code, and seems to be working.
But found a PL reporting bug when live. (Update: found it in old code. Easy fix.)
 
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