ES Journal - 2023/2024

IDF strikes Hezbollah military structures in southern Lebanon

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Only thing that matters are the Bollinger Bands. Bollinger Bands say "Up!" The market doesn't even have to ask "how high?" Bolinger Bands already answered that too. You must trust and believe in the all mighty Bollinger Bands ;)
lol bollinger bands.jpg

I don't know if it is a market mover or not. I use the forex factory economic calendar and they code it as a "red" event.

On the daily, I'm following along this framework (not the Bollingers). Next target higher same as I mentioned yesterday, the all time high at 5588. The upper trendline value today appears to be around 5638-40. That would be a heckuva one day move. Maybe double top at the all time high and then more trading range as the market works its way across this channel?

All I know is that at the moment, ES is in "breakout mode" as it is higher than yesterday's highest price. I favor long day trades here.

06-28-2024 ES trendline.jpg
 
is this core PCE a market mover? Can't remember

If so, we gonna rip, or 'dip then rip'?

It is if we deviate from expectations. This one was more or less on target, so I don't think it's going to be a major factor.

Last day of the month, window dressing, short week ahead, etc. probably more important at the moment.

But hey, maybe we get some pre-July 4th fireworks.

I'm still in buy the dip mode, but keeping an eye on Nvidia, etc.
 
Every time price has tested that 5519 breakout level, there have been buyers. But every time price attempts to breakout above a previous day's high there have been sellers.

Just an observation.
 
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