ES Journal - 2023/2024

Still think 40 can hit

No major economic news scheduled for tomorrow. Reckon the bulls will take that as a favorable sign and come out of the fence with a hardon (yeah, like that is anything new :sneaky:) Anyway, what do you have for tomorrow's high, stat man? My memo states 75.
 
No major economic news scheduled for tomorrow. Reckon the bulls will take that as a favorable sign and come out of the fence with a hardon (yeah, like that is anything new :sneaky:) Anyway, what do you have for tomorrow's high, stat man? My memo states 75.

It doesn't quite work that way. Isn't 75 around last week's high? If we trade that high, I would guess we have a good chance at a push above.

In terms of statistics, I'm just aware that there's a decent chance of an EOM rally. I say decent because we're at top of the range already, so that makes it less favorable in terms of R/R since the months move is in many ways mature already.

What I don't think is likely is any substantial selling going into EOM. If lower, I'd bet it be contained. But we have some big news by end of week that could change things.

In summary, bullish, but not uber/super-bullish. LOL. :)
 
In summary, bullish, but not uber/super-bullish. LOL. :)

Same here. Yet the first trade of the day for me was this short trade for +3.5 points. Target hit and waiting for my next set up.

06-26-2024  Premarket 1.jpg

Update: Another little scalp using 1 minute bars against the 60 minute bars. Another day with +5 points in the premarket hour. I could get used to this :cool:

06-26-2024  Premarket final.jpg
 
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My new trading rule for ETH is holding up well: "It always dips deeper and later than you think." :)

I want to run a systematic back-test on this (struggling a bit to format the dataset and have been short on time), but a quick visual back-test seemed to indicate the ETH low usually coming the last few hours prior to the RTH Open lately.
 
My new trading rule for ETH is holding up well: "It always dips deeper and later than you think." :)

I want to run a systematic back-test on this (struggling a bit to format the dataset and have been short on time), but a quick visual back-test seemed to indicate the ETH low usually coming the last few hours prior to the RTH Open lately.

Institutions inducing dips, getting all the daytrading dentists ready for the next flash crash, only to pull the rug on them and jam price up once stocks and options start trading.

This is my first week regularly trading ETH. My results have been opposite of mt RTH trading. Shorts tend to work better than longs premarket, longs work better for after the RTH open.

In addition I'm working out my targets and taking profits sooner. So far it is working which is great for me because I don't have much time to trade RTH this week.
 
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