ES Journal - 2023/2024

mervyn said:
Long 5 lots 10s 108’02.0, the rate jumped is unrealistic, expect to move lower after the long weekend.
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Mmmm... Inflation is tearing its ugly head again. Europe was supposed to start the rate cut cycle this time, as in next month, but Germany's salaries are up 6% or so.

So who knows.
 
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Picaso said:
Mmmm... Inflation is tearing its ugly head again. Europe was suppose to start the rate cut cycle this time, as in next month, but Germany's salaries are up 6% or so.

So who knows.
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already exited my last batch 10s yesterday, now a clean slate.

i'd prefer to have the 10y back to 4.5-4.65% but this moring was already 1.5% jump, good enough for me to enter the dip, average down if i must.
 
Laissez Faire said:
Curious.

Was today's sell off within your expectations? If you make those type of trades at all.
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An analog to the last NVDA earnings but this time there was no participation. I was short MSFT in vol from 431-432. Bear ps in NDX which I converted to flies. So long put spread 18800 cash -> short ps at 18650 = natural bear fly. TBH I was surprised we were not down 200 on NDX.

I had some arbs in SN as well.
 
tiddlywinks said:
Speaking of THAT gap...

Something of note imo, is THAT gap was essentially gap and go on both the RTH **and** ETH price bar plots. **MOST** gaps only exist in the RTH plot.

For me, that partially explains the low volatility "price discovery" that has been occurring within the air pocket.

Just saying.
Good trading to all.
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not sure vol is low. closed my vix 12 calls, which i bought this monday for 1.74 and sold at 2.03, 17% gains, a big green candle today.
 
Quit yer whining! It might seem like a lot, but ES dropped less than 1%.

upload_2024-5-23_13-33-45.png


So come tomorrow, it wouldn't be surprising to see the bulls rearing their ugly butts again.
 
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