Why do you want to be a smart ass?
I can't even see an instrument or tell what time frame that is. Second of all if you don't want to read what I post that is fine, but than why comment to me if you won't read what i post. I genuinely doesn't understand.
Is 35-40 point up move not a respectable move to you? Than what are you doing? Just using account size, time and natural bullish bias of the markets as your edge?
Now if that's an ES chart and you're saying it didn't rip. You're saying exactly what I said ES did absolutely nothing while NQ made 2 clear new relative highs and paid out. If we cant count a 35-40 point move on NQ as a decent move, than what is? Do I need 80-100 point move? what are we doing here day trading it? or intra-day swinging? I won't speak for you, but I am day trading it, not swinging it.
Lastly the probability is absolutely long, if you think it's short, go ahead. If you're right it's just luck. But market can do whatever it wants and nothing is 100% that goes without saying and I realize that, so certainly manage risk and trade your plan accordingly. Like I said we could pull back 3:00 or 3:30 and if we do ill look for a long. I am currently looking long now though and getting in and out.
I don't sit here and try to be right or worry about being wrong. The probability is long regardless if it works out this time or not. It could move down 500 points in 1 second and I won't change my tune, just manage risk. That's the difference between you and me. If it crashes here you're going to think you're right and my "call" was wrong despite already being paid out on it.