ES Journal - 2023/2024

Nasdaq, SPX had a heck of a run up into this announcement, will be very interesting to see how they react to the news.
5 and 10 day change:
SPX +85.16 +163.49
NDX +342.76 +545.86
DJI + 638.84 + 1169.34

5 stocks constitute 25% SPX, NVDA is heading to 500 before the next earning I am affraid.
 
New Zealand is in a recession officially.

But I think ES is very difficult to make money on shorting, at least for the summer. With high concentration on fewer mega names, one can pump high volume call options to stop the index collapsing, like today, NVDA was crazy. We need some very bad news to deflate their valuations, and when everyone realizes AI is too far from reality. YM and RTY probably have more upside when rotation starts.

Call spreads are probably more safe than put spreads on SPX.

To add: WTI is below 70 but my gas station premium is 4.2599 for weeks now, higher than when the war started last year. What gives?
 
Back
Top