ES Journal - 2023/2024

Tricky! I stopped out of my short just now at 10.50.

This can go all the way up to 4113 / 4115 and still sell off.

I'm probably going to scratch this off as a losing day and call it a day here. Lacking conviction either way for now...
 
Laissez Faire said:
Predictive modeling:

Yesterday was an Outside Day.

For this particular type of Outside Day - the odds of a positive close in RTH is very, very high (83 %) and we should see the main move going higher. And the odds of a close above yesterday's low are extremely high (dare I say 100 % ?).

Unless something changed yesterday and someone really wants to start selling, we should see at least 4140 in today's RTH session. Quite possibly more.
More...

It's not too late... :)

Let's see if we at least can close above yesterday's low at 4115.

Otherwise it was a poor prediction as we dipped much lower below yesterday's LOD than I had anticipated based on that data.
 
NQ leading lower once again.

Now that was a false breakout if I ever saw one. Snapped right back up. Let's see if we can make it to 4130/40 today on ES.

Last years Holy Thursday was a sell, but on average it's a bullish day over the last 10 years.
 
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Didn't expecially like the entry the second I took it lol. Kinda jumped in/fomo'd - But i'm feeling fairly bullish overall and might build a bigger position potentially. We'll see
 
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