ES Journal - 2023/2024

Picking a bottom here for sure, but the R/R is right and it's a slow and controlled pace with NQ putting in higher lows.

If it breaks lower it does look like 4100 next, but I'm assuming this is a pullback low for now.

upload_2023-4-5_12-18-43.png
 
Predictive modeling:

Yesterday was an Outside Day.

For this particular type of Outside Day - the odds of a positive close in RTH is very, very high (83 %) and we should see the main move going higher. And the odds of a close above yesterday's low are extremely high (dare I say 100 % ?).

Unless something changed yesterday and someone really wants to start selling, we should see at least 4140 in today's RTH session. Quite possibly more.

That's my prediction. So might hold for that as a target if I'm not stopped out here. Will probably re-enter if I'm low ticked or re-enter at lower prices.
 
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