ES Journal - 2023/2024

Breakout of IHS on weekly--
upload_2023-2-6_0-1-52.png
 
No new gaps last week, but a volume pocket was created in the 4100 area on that late session FED surge on Wednesday. Basically, the market went too high, too fast.

So, maybe a pullback to 4100 to start the week. Friday's pattern also have a negative bias (net change down) for the coming Monday.

In play… :) Repeated attempts to go higher overnight and a failure to close the Sunday night gap was a big tell, IMO.

4090 - 4100.

If that area doesn’t hold we may certainly start considering if this will be a down week. For now, let’s consider it a tradeable pullback or simply a down move.
 
In play… :) Repeated attempts to go higher overnight and a failure to close the Sunday night gap was a big tell, IMO.

4090 - 4100.

If that area doesn’t hold we may certainly start considering if this will be a down week. For now, let’s consider it a tradeable pullback or simply a down move.
Overnight doesn't carry much weight these days. Once the RTH opens, it could completely reverse. We've seen that happening all throughout the past 2 weeks.
 
Overnight doesn't carry much weight these days. Once the RTH opens, it could completely reverse. We've seen that happening all throughout the past 2 weeks.

Regardless of all that, we’re due a pullback here, buddy. Maybe this is all we get, but I have my eyes on that 4.1K level for now.

A larger gap down on the RTH Open in that area could be a good buy, though.

I’m short for now (29.50) with a buy order at 09.50. 10 point stop.

Headed to the office so this one will stay unmonitored.
 
If that area doesn’t hold we may certainly start considering if this will be a down week. For
A very high probability according to my calculations (not guesswork or hunch) we have the next 4 as negative trending days (nothing severe) and Friday recovery day.
Let's see how that pans out.
 
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A very high probability according to my calculations (not guesswork or hunch) we have the next 4 as negative trending days (nothing severe) and Friday recovery day.
Let's see how that pans out.

Without stopping me out first?

I pray you’re right, buddy.
 
Regardless of all that, we’re due a pullback here, buddy. Maybe this is all we get, but I have my eyes on that 4.1K level for now.

A larger gap down on the RTH Open in that area could be a good buy, though.

I’m short for now (29.50) with a buy order at 09.50. 10 point stop.

Headed to the office so this one will stay unmonitored.

Filled while doing soul-sucking work. + 20.00.
 
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