ES Journal - 2023/2024

Unless NQ spoils it all. My predictive model gives very good odds for a new HOD today, though... :)

upload_2023-3-27_19-9-15.png
 
I'm not an expert on NQ, but I don't think it'll print an Outside Day.

So maybe it will be a drag on ES until it bottoms out above Friday's LOD and then we'll take off.

(I moved my stop 2 points).

Shit could still hit the fan here, though. Just playing what I think are the best odds moving forward for today's session.
 
Bear trap, anyone...?

I'm sure that last thrust down suckered in quite a few late bears - particularly on NQ.

Okay. I moved my stop 3 points. Not 2. Big part of why I don't like posting trades is that I'm fluid and posting the trade management is a pain in the ass.

I will scratch B/E if we fail from here, though. Ready to add some to this.

upload_2023-3-27_19-22-30.png
 
Bears are f''ked now. Short term. Or do they have anything more left for today...? :)

4017 is the final hurdle here for the bulls. It could reverse this, but I don't think so...?

upload_2023-3-27_19-34-20.png
 
Grrr...thought I was safe, but that's a hefty pullback. Original prediction still in play, but shouldn't pull back much more than this for that to be in effect.

Could turn into a late session sell from here after all.
 
Grrr...thought I was safe, but that's a hefty pullback. Original prediction still in play, but shouldn't pull back much more than this for that to be in effect.

Could turn into a late session sell from here after all.

what are the basis of your predictions?
 
what are the basis of your predictions?

Statistical data, i.e., price and time. No charts. Both pre-market (EOD) and intraday. Today's prediction was an intraday read of "the day today" at that point in time.

I'm not the best at reading the micro moves, but I usually have a good handle on the major outlook for the day.

I moved my stop. Again.

Time is not on our side and NQ is a f''king drag today, so I will probably trail out for 5-6 points of profit if we reverse lower once more...

upload_2023-3-27_20-22-10.png
 
Statistical data, i.e., price and time. No charts. Both pre-market (EOD) and intraday. Today's prediction was an intraday read of "the day today" at that point in time.

I'm not the best at reading the micro moves, but I usually have a good handle on the major outlook for the day.

I moved my stop. Again.

Time is not on our side and NQ is a f''king drag today, so I will probably trail out for 5-6 points of profit if we reverse lower once more...

View attachment 310181

price/time as in market profile? are you using algo to assist you, or doing it yourself? I agree the bottoming formation was likely a bear trap the longer it took to fail to break down, but the prediction that we'd end the day above opening range intrigues me. Where did that come from?
 
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