ES Journal - 2023/2024

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Haha... I thought real hard before I asked. Some of your posts take me a few minutes to decipher, but when finally do, it like hmmm... that's pretty good. I dunno about the long bias though. I sure hope you're right. Trading accounts are one thing, retirement accounts are another.


You can go discretely asym (one unit from symmetric on strikes) here in index and get paid to hold upside deltas. It's a possible 7-10 bagger with little to no downside risk.

The switch (term structure edge) is even fatter.
 
Best risk is in RUT, and SMH on the ETF-side. Semis (AMD, AMAT). Do not trade upside NVDA in vol. It's crowded and -edge. You can go long but not explicitly vol (bull or bear verts are OK).
 
It will paint a doji. Bull trends are very powerful and it's not going to reverse, just because it was weak the past few weeks. Once the bearishness is lost, it's hard to regain. Those algos go away and are replaced by the ones that buy every dip.

I posted earlier in the week about it being bullish, and yes yesterday happened, but it's still getting to the target. When I post the week to week stuff it's usually pretty good, but hard to nail it every single day.


Did the Doji predict 446 marked? #allergictomoney
 
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