ES Journal - 2021/2022

Concinnity said:
Kind of off topic for this forum so forgive me and also conjecture. But what if markets start to go parabolic as people look for return on $ due to inflation? Anyone have thoughts on this just out of curiosity?

To me this is the worst scenario, because things would come unraveled in a real way. Difficult to come back from deep deflation, it's a whole another ball game with hyper inflation, that's a complete killer.
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That's what happened to Zimbabwe.

upload_2022-10-26_10-46-42.png


zimbabweBullionStar.gif
 
Look at how tradable that was. Just obvious after the first flag.

Quote from someone who survived Argentina: "Buy anything - a car, an airplane, a gun, a clown suit"
 
In Latin America long running joke was you paid your cab fare (pre Uber days) when you got in because the price might be much higher by the time you got to your destination.
 
The rationale doesn't have to be inflation -- could just be FOMO. There are some who think there is 1 massive leg left in the secular bull market which will go parabolic -- and end the bull in dramatic fashion. I don't rule this or just about anything out, but I do believe we have seen the lows for the year.


Concinnity said:
Kind of off topic for this forum so forgive me and also conjecture. But what if markets start to go parabolic as people look for return on $ due to inflation? Anyone have thoughts on this just out of curiosity?

To me this is the worst scenario, because things would come unraveled in a real way. Difficult to come back from deep deflation, it's a whole another ball game with hyper inflation, that's a complete killer.
More...
 
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