ES Journal - 2021/2022

Failure @ 3840 or below could set up a sell towards 3800 today, but my main expectation is that we'll see a move above 3860 by end of week, so we can continue higher today. I think 40 is the key for today.

I think 3854 is a upside target - from there a swing down to 3810 to 3790 - before a run to ATH's. Yes upside momo is strong on this leg, sure does want to blow through this ATH top.
 
No. Not yet. Downtrend intact in my view. I continue with short bias for now and view this as a bounce.

What would change your mind?

I was bearish going into this week, but changed my mind pretty much on the Open on Monday where Tuesday and Wednesday only confirmed that view. For the bearish scenario I was anticipating a break below last week's low, but that didn't happen.

We can of course print a double top here and reverse lower, but to me it doesn't seem obvious that we're in a down trend on higher time frames. At best a trading range, IMO. :)
 
What would change your mind?

I was bearish going into this week, but changed my mind pretty much on the Open on Monday where Tuesday and Wednesday only confirmed that view. For the bearish scenario I was anticipating a break below last week's low, but that didn't happen.

We can of course print a double top here and reverse lower, but to me it doesn't seem obvious that we're in a down trend on higher time frames. At best a trading range, IMO. :)
A breakout of ATHs and then confirmed continuation
 
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