ES Journal - 2021/2022

I'm expecting a move towards 3700 sooner than later. But just don't have the confidence to short ES on a day trade today. That may be a mistake. Flat and watching. Stalking long entries...
 
Outside Day is possible here.

Waiting to see what happens around 3718/20.

Only down 0,55 % at this point, so nothing dramatic yet. Given that - I'd say we can easily sell well below 3720 today, so may not be too late to join the short side.
 
3709 next level of interest below 3220. If not - next open gap is 3695,25. If I like the PA - I'm shorting around 3220, but primarily still chasing a long for a bounce in that area.
 
Not a buyer in sight...

I'm sad to say I missed the short side completely this morning, but that's the honest truth. I knew a move to the low 3700 was coming sooner or later, but I had not anticipated that it would play out like this, obviously.

I think 3695/3700 should cap it for today and offer a sizeable bounce. Unless this is the start of a larger correction...
 
Two main scenarios for the rest of the day, IMO:

a. LOD in already and forming a base/DB here for a move towards 15-30.

b. Continued selling with a close near the LOD and no counter rally, i.e., a trend day down. Only down 1,56 % so far today, so if it's one of those days, we'll easily see more down side still.

No strong edge either way today, but there's a slight bias to scenario a from my point of view.
 
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