Possibly, but I think we have one more little push to go.
Could be.
I'm on the fence tbh.
Too many factors near term we're not privy too.
2900-3200 looks like a healthy pullback, chart-wise it's almost a given.
But I agree with what you say. When things seem too obvious, they usually are until the clock runs out.
Are we there yet?
Ahhhhh---- probably yes.
A part of me wanted to post on Stoney's thread that today marked the 2022 high >>> going forward that is.... but at the same time one can't underestimate the power of dumb money.
Way back in late July I said 4474 would be hit by years end. That was based on a pure contrarian chart play to take the most money from the most people.
It's not looking like a good call at this point that's for sure.
But with that said, there is still upside room to at least come close.
If 4400+ does in fact hit, it would not surprise me.
See, there's more here than you and I understand. Or at least I. The verdict remains out on you lol.
America remains the safest place in the world, for the most part, to park money for a return exceeding the bellwether safe-havens. Even if it's an ADR or an ETF investing in say... Brazil. Or Vietnam. Or wherever. Sharp stock-pickers can still clean up.
Russia is the wild-card. The unknown unknown.
Short squeezes across an index can be a bitch.
And make no mistake, if Putin gets taken out tomorrow, we'll see the short squeeze to end all short squeezes.
But if he doesn't die, and perhaps lobs a nuke, watch out below. No squeeze will happen. But that's an extreme in the "what if" column.
Imo at least, the water has not yet found its level.
So aside from the long term, the all knowing, algo-math will continue to bleed money from the unwise.