ES Journal - 2019/2020

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Pekelo said:
In the last 10 days we had a sequence of 4 (four!!) consecutive upgaps and counting backwards from the last one, the 4th was filled on the 3rd trading day and the 3rd on the 4th. The first 2 are still unfilled. The first starting at 3360 SPX.

Edit: We have just pretty much filled the 2nd one at 3420 as I wrote this post.
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I have open gaps @

3407

3349,25

on ES.
 
Pekelo said:
In the last 10 days we had a sequence of 4 (four!!) consecutive upgaps and counting backwards from the last one, the 4th was filled on the 3rd trading day and the 3rd on the 4th. The first 2 are still unfilled. The first starting at 3360 SPX.

Edit: We have just pretty much filled the 2nd one at 3420 as I wrote this post.
More...

I only tracked evening gaps @6pm ET, not others though.
 
Laissez Faire said:
I was in any case genuinely curious if you or anyone had the statistics on ETH gap fills. I've noticed they mostly seem to fill too, but always nice to know the actual number.

I have this data on RTH and I know it's not like how many may think.
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I don't record down every gap that's filled or unfilled. All I care about is that if my setup gets triggered on the same side with unfilled gap from overnight, the odds are with me and hence increasing probability of a winning trade.
 
Oh, and just to contribute to this thread. Here are my three trades so far today:
Buy 2 at 3447.5, sell at loss for 3443.25
Buy 2 at 3438.75, sell at loss for 3434.70
Buy 4 at 3418.50, sell for profit at 3424.50
 
QTrader20 said:
I don't record down every gap that's filled or unfilled. All I care about is that if my setup gets triggered on the same side with unfilled gap from overnight, the odds are with me and hence increasing probability of a winning trade.
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A screenshot is worth a thousand words....
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That's quite the red bar on the daily. @Buy1Sell2 's bull flag took a beating today.

It's been about a month since we last had a 83 point RTH range. The last time something similar happened we closed higher 67 % of the time the following day.

I'm long 3314 with a stop @ 3394 overnight. Small size.
 
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