ES Journal - 2019/2020

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Prolly you are right.
I remember when Covid became serious in Australia, there were a few days I was feeling like the flu was trying to get at me, so I bunkered down, kept warm, drank lots of soup and water, got lots of rest and since then so far this winter have been feeling good.

Well, get used to hunkering down and staying warm under the covers if you are long. It is starting to look ugly. None of Asia helped the fall-off at all. The fack Europe can do I have no idea.

Nobody likes Kamala, and everyone likes profit-taking. Down we go some more. Wheeee!
 
It was a ludicrous statement by B... no one knows how many attempts... if any... it will take to push to ATH`s ... If anything is going to leave you confused.. It`s that!

Well. Did you notice how many attempts we had before we successfully broke out of the trading range at 3230?

Depending on how you count it - I measure about 8 attempts including a few failed breakouts.

Maybe it was an odd statement. Maybe not. Maybe @Buy1Sell2 is suggesting the ATH will be the high of a new trading range and that it won't be taken out easily.

Mocking other people when you have not stuck out your own neck should not be tolerated.

As for @Buy1Sell2 - his position and bias is crystal clear. No confusion there. :)

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b) Did I attack the guy? No I was poking fun - just like with you. Had I known you were so sensitive and thin-skinned I wouldn't have. Coming off as such a heavy data / stat / probability guy I find it rather odd you'd be defending a comment like "after testing highs 6 times we will breakout". Really dude? I actually find B1S2 to be a classy guy that takes a lot of shit from some people.

Yes, you did. At least have the guts to admit that. Bullies will always do the "I was just joking" when confronted, but you did take a swing at him. I'm sure you've seen your trading heroes on this thread do the same and maybe you were trying to be one of the cool guys, too. You failed there.

As for testing the high 6 times - what do you or others know about how he inferred that? See my post above.

As far as his accountability and trading consistency go... yeah not so much. Anyone that has actively tracked that over time knows a lot doesn't add up.

He's far more transparent and accountable than most of - if not all - his critics.

Are you trying to help people or are you trying to stroke your ego?

I post for my own egotistical reasons just like everyone else. While I'm not opposed to helping people directly or indirectly, I'm certainly not trying to mentor or teach anyone or actively 'help' people. If anything, I do my best to hide details of my own research and findings having realized how many assholes frequent this site, although I've contributed my fair share both in this journal and otherwise on ET over the years.

Have a sense of humor - it keeps things light in a thread (or the majority of the forum for that matter) that tends to derail into a BSD shitshow frequently. Were we in reverse positions, I'd probably have liked the post, chuckled, and moved on. *Shrug*

See. That's the thing. You wouldn't have. And last week was proof of that. When I finally took a hit on two B/E trades - you were there with a snide remark.

Anyway whatever. I'll just go back to lurking and giving positive feedback to those who deserve it. The rest can carry on with the usual bouts of toxicity and multi-nicking.

Who's toxic and multi-nicking?
 
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Weekly forecast as of Tuesday's Close:

- 75 % odds we'll close above 3350 and at top of the range
- 75 % odds of a new high (Thursday or Friday). Should come in at 3390 or more.

That's scenario 1 - the bullish of one.

Scenario 2 is that we'll see an Outside Week going all the way down to 3265.

The tricky part is that both scenarios generally sets up Wednesday as a possible consolidation, so needs Thursday to confirm.

My best guess is that as long as 3300 or higher holds today - we're headed higher by Week End. Particularly so if we don't make a new Low today, i.e., below 3320 in RTH.

As for Wednesday, intraday, it looks pretty bullish with very strong odds that the high will come later in the day and a close above yesterday's close. Might see an initial dip/drop after the Open, but it should be a good buy. Taking out yesterday's high is however less likely. 1/7 chance of that.

That's the odds and how I see it. But nothing's ever certain.
 
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I'm not sure how well your calls are going to feed me when you post the entry and exit both way after the fact. :D

Yesterday you say you want it to get 44.50-47 to get long. Well it didn't get there, but you magically say after the fact that you scaled in and hence were already in, even though it didn't hit where you were gonna get long. We have to wait a whole 45 minutes to actually see that you got in, and apparently higher than where it got to since it didn't even get there. Wow... awesome call!

Today you say to short 75 and over right at the open, but you don't mention that you are already short. You wait until later in the day to produce a fill for your 3 lot. And right after this post you make the bold bullish signal, followed up with the statement that there are lots of possibilities. So now you're in the position of showing shorts, and saying a bullish signal, so really, by the end of the day, you could take credit for anything. You could have said you exited the shorts and followed up on your bullish signal, or you could have said you held the shorts.

Then of course your regular method seems to be scaling in, so that you have a wide range of prices to pick from, and other trades you say the market only gave a few points, so you are happy taking 4 points. Once again, all bases covered.

Can you explain to me how your posts are feeding anyone?

I don`t usually respond to zero credibility trolls... However, I`ve been posting on this ES Journal since `07 ... since B1 had started it.... Iv`e contributed daily P&L`s, Live trade calls, quality info & have answered any question asked of me.... You`re late to the party as I don`t
provide live calls & free lunch anymore... Not even for self entitled trolls like yourself... so stop fishing for timely calls ... You`re not going to get them!... On Ignore
 
I don`t usually respond to zero credibility trolls... However, I`ve been posting on this ES Journal since `07 ... since B1 had started it.... Iv`e contributed daily P&L`s, Live trade calls, quality info & have answered any question asked of me.... You`re late to the party as I don`t
provide live calls & free lunch anymore... Not even for self entitled trolls like yourself... so stop fishing for timely calls ... You`re not going to get them!... On Ignore
Roger that, there are plenty of paid chat rooms providing that kind of service.
 
so stop fishing for timely calls ... You`re not going to get them!
I at least appreciate that you admit you're not doing live calls. Nothing wrong with you posting however you want, but for some newbie who thinks you're able to walk on water, its important to realize that much of what you say can later be claimed to go either way, so its difficult to give you praise. (ie. Bullish signal appears, but you're still short, and hours later, any outcome can be derived from these two)
 
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